Creating a Perpetual Stream of Income to Last through Retirement

Creating a Perpetual Stream of Income to Last through Retirement – (0:00)

Scott Peterson: Welcome, everybody! It’s good to have you with us again this year.

I’d just like to take a moment to welcome everyone. Every year, we like to go through the Perennial Income Model™ to ensure that our clients fully understand how it works. For those of you who are not yet clients, we want to introduce you to this approach.

I’ll admit, I’m probably the least technologically advanced person you’ll ever meet! That’s why I surround myself with great people who can help with that.

For those of you who don’t know us, Peterson Wealth Advisors specializes in managing money for retirees. Over the years, we’ve developed and refined processes that make us leaders in the retirement income space.

Today, I’m going to introduce—or, if you’re already a client, remind you—how the Perennial Income Model works. This is our proprietary process for managing money during retirement. You’ll see why hundreds of retired families across the country depend on this common-sense approach to managing their retirement income.

One of our lead advisors, Carson Johnson, is managing the chat room during this presentation. You’re welcome to reach out to him with any questions you might have. I’ll also set aside time at the end of the presentation to answer any questions.

I find it so interesting that we spend four decades preparing for what we hope will be a comfortable retirement. We’re laser-focused on contributing to our 401(k)s and IRAs, making sure we get our employer match, and ensuring our investments are properly allocated. Over time, we get really good at the art of accumulation. We understand how compound interest works, and we see its power in the years leading up to retirement.

Then something happens that shakes our confidence—we actually retire. Suddenly, we realize that the skill set we’ve spent decades mastering—accumulating wealth—doesn’t necessarily help us when we transition into the decumulation phase, where we start withdrawing money.

This is a completely different skill set, and that’s where we specialize. At Peterson Wealth Advisors, we help retirees effectively manage their money during retirement.

Every retiree has to answer this critical question: How do I create a reliable, tax-efficient, inflation-adjusted stream of income from my benefits and investments that will last throughout retirement with the least amount of risk? That should be the goal of every pre-retiree and early retiree.

The problem is that retirement today is far more complicated than it used to be. I’ve been in this industry for a long time, and early in my career, most retirees had pensions. They might have had a little savings on the side, but pensions were the primary source of retirement income.

Fast forward to today—pensions have largely been replaced by 401(k)s. If you still have a pension, consider yourself lucky. But for most people, managing their own 401(k)s, IRAs, and other savings is now their responsibility.

This shift has created big decisions in retirement—decisions that can have massive financial consequences. Some decisions that seem small or insignificant can end up having a huge impact.

Every financial decision you make in retirement affects other areas of your plan. Nothing happens in a vacuum.

For example:

  • The type of retirement account you withdraw from can determine how your Social Security benefits are taxed and how much you’ll pay in Medicare premiums.
  • Converting too much of your IRA to a Roth IRA too soon could result in unnecessary taxes now and cause you to miss out on future tax-saving opportunities—especially when it comes to charitable giving.
  • Taking what seems like a logical step to minimize taxes today might end up increasing your tax burden down the road when Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) kick in.

And to make things even more challenging—the rules keep changing.

So, here’s the challenge retirees face: How do you take your Social Security, pension benefits, and investments and turn them into a reliable, lifelong income stream?

I like to use this analogy—In my house, we have a junk drawer in our kitchen. It’s where we keep random items that don’t really have a designated spot. It’s not that the items in the junk drawer aren’t useful—it’s just that they’re unorganized. If I ever need a shoelace or a stapler, I know I can find one in the junk drawer… eventually.

After working with retirees for over three decades, I’ve found that organizing a retiree’s various investments and benefits into a structured income plan is a lot like cleaning out that junk drawer.

Now, just to be clear—I’m not saying your investments are junk! Quite the opposite. They have significant value. But without a structured, organized plan, they can feel scattered, making it difficult to create a reliable income stream in retirement.

This is where our approach comes in. The Perennial Income Model helps retirees turn their accumulated assets into a structured, tax-efficient, and inflation-adjusted income stream designed to last throughout retirement.

And that’s exactly what we’re going to cover today.

On the contrary, these assets have tremendous value. But I want you to think about your own junk drawer of investments and benefits.

Maybe you have a Roth IRA that you opened years ago. You might still have an old 401(k) from a previous employer, along with your existing 401(k). What about your Social Security benefits or a monthly pension? Perhaps you have a lump sum pension and aren’t sure what to do with it.

The challenge is taking this junk drawer of investments and benefits and organizing them into a structured income stream that will last three decades.

Now, that may seem like an overwhelming task. And the reality is, mistakes made at or during retirement can be unforgiving—there are no do-overs.

I once had a client describe the retirement planning process as “like putting a jigsaw puzzle together in the dark.”

Maybe that’s true—but here’s the good news: you don’t have to do it alone. This is what we do—day in and day out. Myself and my team specialize in helping retirees organize their financial puzzle, and we’ve gotten pretty good at it.

We Need a Plan! – (7:23)

At the end of the day, everyone needs an individualized retirement income plan. It’s surprising how few Americans actually have one.

Most people retire with a pile of money, but they don’t know:

  • How they should invest it
  • How much they can safely withdraw
  • Which accounts they should pull from first

And yet, we make plans for everything else in life. We write down a list when we go to the grocery store. We map out itineraries when we go on vacation. But very few people enter retirement with a clear income plan.

That’s concerning because the quality of the next 30 years of your life depends on the decisions you make at retirement and the plan you put in place.

A well-thought-out plan provides discipline, order, safety, and peace of mind. A sound retirement income plan allows you to focus on your retirement dreams instead of constantly worrying about daily market movements, interest rates, or current events.

And here’s the thing—a retirement income plan should be unique to you. That means copying your retired neighbor’s plan won’t work. Following a generic withdrawal rule of thumb from a financial advisor isn’t enough. Buying an annuity that can’t keep up with inflation will only erode your future purchasing power.

And if you’ve been investing for decades, you probably already know that timing the market and guessing its next move isn’t a winning strategy.

So now that I’ve pointed out the common mistakes in retirement income planning, you’re probably wondering—what should you do instead?

That’s exactly what we’re going to cover today. We’re going to build a retirement income plan together, and I’ll show you how we professionally design plans for our clients.

But before we dive into how to build a plan, let’s take a step back and define what a retirement income plan should accomplish.

First of all, it needs to be goal-specific. I like to use this example: There’s a big difference between a person who says, “When I retire, I’d like to own a cabin by the lake.” Versus someone who says,
“I want to retire in 20 years, and I want a cabin by the lake. I estimate it will cost $600,000, so I need to save $1,300 per month for the next 20 years and earn a 6% return on my investments to reach my goal.”

The first person has a wish. The second person has a plan. A goal-specific, date-specific, and dollar-specific plan defines exactly how much income will be needed during retirement and when it will be needed.

By knowing when income will be needed, we can create an investment blueprint to guide us through retirement. A properly structured retirement income plan delivers future income with the least amount of risk, after considering all potential challenges.

Second, it must provide a structured withdrawal framework. At retirement, you are managing the largest sum of money you’ll ever have—and it has to last you the rest of your life.

That means you need to answer this fundamental question: How much can I, or should I, withdraw from my investments?

This isn’t something you can guess at. It has to be carefully planned so that your income is sustainable throughout retirement, allowing you to fully enjoy the experience.

We see two common types of retirees when it comes to this challenge. We see two common tendencies when it comes to retirees and their spending habits.

First, some retirees overspend once they retire. And I get it—you’ve spent 40 years saving for retirement. Now that you’ve finally arrived, it’s easy to feel entitled to spend your money however you want.

The problem is, without a plan, some retirees blow through their savings in the first 10 years of what should be a 30-year retirement. That’s obviously not a good situation.

On the other extreme, some retirees underspend because they’re afraid of running out of money.

Even though their investment statement shows a large balance, they hesitate to withdraw anything. Their fear of the future leads them to shortchange their retirement experiences, preventing them from fully enjoying the life they worked so hard for.

So how do you strike the right balance?

To give yourself the best chance of not outliving your money, experts generally recommend withdrawing no more than 4% per year from your total nest egg.

However, a recent study by the Employee Benefit Research Institute—a nonprofit research group—found that many retirees withdraw an average of 15% per year from their retirement investments. This is simply unsustainable.

A distribution framework provides the structure and discipline needed to withdraw the right amount from your investments throughout retirement.

Third, we need an investment framework that provides reliable income with the least amount of risk—after all risks have been considered.

But first, let’s define what risk actually means. We believe risk is the chance of losing purchasing power. Many retirees either ignore certain risks or don’t fully understand the risks that can cause the greatest financial harm in retirement.

Some of your retirement funds will need to be liquidated in the next few years to provide income. We call this short-term money. Other money won’t be needed for many years. We call this long-term money.

These two types of money face different risks and different rewards.

Two Main Types of Risk- (14:23)

When it comes to retirement risks, there are two main concerns:

  1. Stock market volatility in the short-term
  2. Inflation risk over the long term

Let’s talk about the short-term market volatility. Equities (stock-related investments) experience a lot of volatility.

You already know this if you’ve been managing your own money for a long time. If mismanaged, retirees can lose money investing in equities—especially when they need to withdraw funds during a market downturn.

That’s why having a portion of your investments in safe, low-volatility assets is critical for protecting your short-term income. We refer to these as “safe money” accounts, typically fixed-income investments.

However, while fixed-income investments can help avoid short-term volatility, they are terrible for long-term growth because they can’t keep up with inflation.

We all understand inflation much better now than we did five years ago. Inflation is a gradual but lethal loss of purchasing power. Even during periods of relatively stable inflation, the historical long-term average has been around 3% per year.

At just a 3% inflation rate, $1 today will only buy 41 cents worth of goods at the end of a 30-year retirement. Unless you’re willing to reduce your lifestyle and spending by 60%, inflation must be actively addressed in your investment strategy.

Fortunately, we can mitigate inflation risk by investing in inflation-beating assets—namely, equities. Equities experience short-term volatility, but they have always outpaced inflation over the long run.

Let’s think about risk in terms of time. Over time, the risk of owning equities decreases. Over time, the risk of owning fixed-income investments increases due to inflation.

That’s why a well-structured retirement plan must include safe investments for short-term income that are not subject to stock market volatility and also growth investments in equities to ensure your money keeps up with inflation over time.

A solid plan strikes the right balance between volatility-protected assets and inflation-beating investments. Ultimately, your plan must match your future income needs with your current investment portfolio—ensuring your money is both protected and growing.

So far, we’ve covered three essential components of a strong retirement plan. Now, let’s add a fourth of minimizing taxes.  Tax-saving opportunities don’t happen by accident—they come from careful planning. This is especially true for retirees.

A well-designed retirement income plan must consider all sources of income and create a tax strategy that minimizes taxes over a 30-year retirement.

It’s not just about withdrawing the right amount of money—it’s about withdrawing from the right types of accounts in coordination with Social Security and pension benefits for maximum tax efficiency.

We need to determine in advance which accounts—or which combination of accounts—to withdraw from each year to create a tax-efficient retirement income stream.

To summarize, these are the four things we need our retirement plan to do for us.

We’ve created a plan that does all of this—but before we dive into how it works, let me explain how this plan came to be. Back in the early 2000s, after the dot-com bubble burst and the 9/11 attacks, I became extremely frustrated with the investment industry. Like most financial advisors, I was constantly searching for the right economist to follow—someone who could accurately predict the market’s short-term direction. The idea was simple: if we could correctly predict where the market was headed, we could adjust our clients’ investments accordingly.

The problem was every economist—and there were thousands of them—had different predictions about where the market was going. And I was supposed to figure out which one to believe.

Well, after years of watching the mutual fund industry, the financial media, and countless economists fail to accurately predict the markets, I realized there had to be a better way to invest than just trying to guess the future.

During this time of frustration, I started searching for answers. That’s when I came across a research paper written by Dr. William Sharpe, a Nobel Prize-winning economist from Stanford. Reading his paper changed the trajectory of my career and has since positively impacted hundreds of retired families across America.

Dr. Sharpe introduced the concept of time segmentation.

In his paper, he suggested that a retiree’s investment portfolio should be divided into 30 separate accounts—each responsible for one year of income during a 30-year retirement.

For example, one account would cover year 1 of retirement. Another account would cover year 2 of retirement. And so on—until 30 years of retirement income were accounted for.

The value of this approach was immediately clear to me. Money set aside for year 1 of retirement should be invested very conservatively—because it needs to be safe and stable.

But money set aside for year 30 of retirement needs to be invested entirely differently—because its biggest risk isn’t volatility, but inflation.

In other words, short-term and long-term investments should be managed differently.

While Dr. Sharpe’s concept made perfect sense in theory, it wasn’t practical to implement. Because managing 30 separate accounts for every retiree would be a logistical nightmare.

I didn’t want to create and oversee 30 individual accounts for each of my retired clients. And my clients certainly didn’t want to receive 30 separate account statements in the mail every month.

The hassle and cost made this academically solid idea completely impractical in the real world. So, while the concept was great, nobody was actually going to implement it.

Not long after reading Dr. Sharpe’s paper, I visited a Christmas tree farm with my family. This was one of those farms where you could cut down your own tree.

As we walked through the farm, I noticed something interesting: We passed by saplings—tiny trees that had just been planted. Then we walked by 1-foot trees…then 2-foot trees…then progressively taller trees. Finally, we reached the section of fully grown trees, which were ready to be cut down and sold.

At that moment, something clicked. The Christmas tree farm had planned years in advance for its future income needs. They weren’t just planting trees randomly—they were time-segmenting their income, ensuring a continuous cycle of trees would be available for harvest every single year. And that’s when I had my breakthrough.

The Christmas tree farm had implemented a time-segmented approach of its own—just like Dr. Sharpe’s paper suggested for retirement planning. I remember thinking—if a Christmas tree farm can figure this out, then surely, with all the tools and resources available in the financial industry, I should be able to do the same. There had to be a way to take Dr. Sharpe’s concept of time segmentation and transform it into a practical investment strategy for retirees. So, we went to work.

As I thought through the details, I realized that instead of breaking retirement into 30 separate accounts, I needed to adjust the timeframe for each segment. Instead of one-year increments, I expanded each investment segment to five years.

By structuring six investment segments—each covering a five-year period instead of just one year—the approach became much more practical while still achieving the same objective.

With this refined approach, we created a structure like this:

  • Segment 1: Provides income for years 1-5
  • Segment 2: Covers years 6-10
  • Segment 3: Covers years 11-15
  • Segment 4: Covers years 16-20
  • Segment 5: Covers years 21-25
  • Segment 6: Designed to preserve wealth for heirs

We call these five-year periods “segments” in our office. Once we worked out all the logistics of turning this academic idea into a real-world investment strategy, we officially launched our trademarked version of time segmentation—the Perennial Income Model.

The Perennial Income Model – (25:05)

The Perennial Income Model is not a product. It’s not a one-size-fits-all rule-of-thumb approach. Instead, it’s a customized investment methodology designed to provide a structured, inflation-adjusted income stream.

The Perennial Income Model was born in 2007, and today, it provides income to hundreds of retired families across the U.S. In the 18 years since its creation, this methodology has been tested and refined through some of the toughest financial conditions imaginable.

Think about it—it was tested immediately when the 2008-2009 financial crisis hit.

Yet, despite market downturns, recessions, and economic uncertainty, the Perennial Income Model has continued to help retirees successfully navigate retirement with confidence.

We firmly believe that the Perennial Income Model should be the default approach for generating retirement income for most retirees.

Now, let’s build a real plan using the Perennial Income Model. We’ll create a plan where a family matches their current investments with their future income needs.

This plan will be goal-based, date-specific, dollar-specific, and structured to guide retirees through investing, distribution, risk management, and taxation.

Let me introduce you to the family we’ll be building a retirement plan for Tony and Kathy Smart. Tony Smart is a 65-year-old engineer who has been diligently saving for retirement throughout his career. His wife, Kathy, is a junior high school principal who is very ready to retire.

Together, they have accumulated $1 million in their 401(k)s and IRAs.

Now, they want to know how their $1 million be invested using the Perennial Income Model and how much income can they reasonably expect from their portfolio.

Tony and Kathy believe a 25-year plan will be sufficient, though many retirees plan for 30-35 years. They also want to pass down as much of their $1 million as possible to their children.

For simplicity, I’m going to show you a Perennial Income Model plan using $1 million. I use $1 million as an example because it makes the math easy to follow, but the Perennial Income Model works for portfolios of all sizes—both larger and smaller.

Now, let’s break their $1 million into five investment segments—each designed to provide income for a specific time period. And then we’re going to do a sixth segment that is designed to return a million dollars to the children.

Segment 1: The First 5 Years of Retirement

The first segment will be funded with $220,979 of their $1 million portfolio. The goal of this segment is safety—not high returns.

Since this is the money Tony and Kathy will live on for the first five years, it must be stable and secure. This segment will generate $3,774 per month for their first five years of retirement. The investment approach here is ultra-conservative because this money cannot be subject to market volatility.

We are not trying to hit home runs with this segment. Instead, we are prioritizing safety and stability so Tony and Kathy can comfortably withdraw their monthly income without worrying about market fluctuations.

You’ll notice that I’m using very conservative growth assumptions in this plan. You might be wondering—are we assuming a growth rate higher than 1%? Yes. In reality, we’re seeing 5%+ guaranteed rates in today’s environment. However I intentionally use conservative assumptions to ensure the plan is realistic and stress-tested.

The idea is simple. If the plan works with conservative growth rates, it will absolutely work when returns are higher. Historically, returns have been higher.

Now that we’ve laid the groundwork for Segment 1, we’ll continue building out the full Perennial Income Model plan for Tony and Kathy—covering the remaining segments, risk management, and investment strategies for long-term success.

I want to share some historical rates of return with you. These numbers come from a Vanguard study, and they provide real, data-driven expectations for different types of investment portfolios.

Segment 1 (our most conservative portfolio, with 90% fixed income and 10% stocks) has historically returned 6.9%. Segment 2 (slightly more aggressive) has historically returned 7.7%. And so on, with each segment taking on slightly more risk as time allows for market fluctuations to smooth out.

These aren’t hypothetical numbers—they are based on real historical performance. And these are the conservative numbers we’ll use in today’s presentation.

I don’t want to be accused of using “pie in the sky” numbers, so we’re going to work with ultra-conservative growth assumptions to ensure this plan is realistic. Because if I were retiring, I’d want to make sure my plan worked under the most conservative assumptions possible—not just under best-case scenarios.

Segment 2: Years 6-10

While Segment 1 is distributing income for the first five years of retirement, the remaining balance of the $1 million portfolio continues to grow. Of this remaining amount, we now set aside $220,979 for Segment 2.

Segment 2’s role will start providing income once Segment 1 runs out at the end of year five. Since this money won’t be needed for at least five years, it can be invested slightly more aggressively than Segment 1. However, we don’t want it to be too aggressive—a prolonged bear market could last longer than five years, so we need some level of stability.

In the Perennial Income Model, we assume Segment 2 earns a conservative 3% return. Historically, Vanguard’s study suggests a more typical return of 8%, but we’re staying conservative.

With a 3% return, the original $220,979 grows to $256,000 by the start of year six—right when it’s needed for the next five years of income.

One key thing to notice, their monthly income increases from $3,774 to $4,384 when they enter Segment 2. This is an important feature of the Perennial Income Model—it builds in inflation-adjusted raises every five years.

Segment 3: Years 11-15

Segment 3 is designed to provide income for years 11-15. Because this money won’t be needed for 10 years, we can invest it more aggressively than Segment 2.

In this case, we allocate $181,000 from the original $1 million portfolio into a moderate portfolio (roughly 50% stocks / 50% fixed income). Vanguard’s study shows that a moderate portfolio has historically returned 8.7%, again we’re assuming a conservative 5% growth rate.

With 5% growth, the original $181,000 grows to $298,000 by the time it’s needed in year 11. Their monthly income increases to $5,093 per month when they enter Segment 3.

Segment 4: Years 16-20

For Segment 4, we allocate $141,000 from the original portfolio. This money has 15 years to grow before it’s needed. Since it has a longer time horizon, we can invest more aggressively than in Segment 3. We assume a conservative 6% growth rate (even though historical returns for a moderate portfolio have averaged 9.4%).

With 6% growth, the original $141,000 grows to $346,000 by the time it’s needed in year 16. And once again, the Smarts get another raise—their income increases to $5,916 per month in year 16.

Segment 5: Years 21-25

For Segment 5, we allocate $99,000 from the original portfolio. This money has 20 years to grow, so it can be even more aggressively invested. We assume a 7% growth rate (again, lower than the historical average for long-term equities).

With 7% growth, the original $99,000 grows to $402,000 by year 21. Since this money won’t be needed for two decades, it is heavily invested in equities.

At this point, short-term market volatility doesn’t matter—we aren’t touching this money for 20 years. And once again, the Smarts get another raise.

Segment 6: The Legacy Fund

This brings us to Segment 6, or the Legacy Segment. Remember—Tony and Kathy wanted to leave their original $1 million to their children, if possible.

To achieve this, we set aside $136,000 in a growth-focused account designed to rebuild the original $1 million over time. With an assumed 8% growth rate, this money will compound over 25 years and restore the family’s legacy goal.

This means Tony & Kathy enjoy a secure, structured income throughout retirement. They receive inflation-adjusted raises every five years. They still pass down their original $1 million to their children.

What makes the Perennial Income Model so effective is that it eliminates short-term volatility concerns by keeping near-term income in safe investments. It addresses inflation risk by investing long-term money in equities. It provides a structured, goal-based framework so retirees can enjoy peace of mind.

Unlike generic withdrawal strategies, this plan is designed around the retiree’s specific goals and income needs—ensuring a disciplined, well-structured approach to retirement investing.

With an 8% rate of return, the $136,000 allocated to Segment 6 grows back to the original $1 million over 25 years. Now, keep in mind—8% is the highest return assumption I’ll allow in any of these projections.

Historically, an all-equity portfolio has averaged closer to 12%, but we’re staying conservative to ensure the plan remains realistic. It’s incredible to see how compound interest works in our favor in these later segments.

Think about it—we’re putting in $136,000, and 25 years later, it’s grown back to $1 million. That’s the magic of long-term investing—as long as you let compound interest work for you instead of against you.

Now that we’ve built out the entire plan, let’s step back and look at the big picture.

We’ve used ultra-conservative assumptions. If this plan works using these conservative numbers, it will work even better in real life. In reality, we’re seeing higher returns than this, which should give you confidence in the strength of the model.

You might assume that, because we’re withdrawing money from Segment 1, then Segment 2, then Segment 3, the total account value would gradually decline over time. But that’s not what happens—because while early segments are being used for income, the later segments are still growing. You’ll notice that, even after 25 years of withdrawals, the total value of the portfolio remains close to $1 million—all while funding a full retirement.

Over 25 years, this plan generates more than $1.5 million in retirement income—while still leaving behind $1 million for heirs. This shows how structured investing allows retirees to create a sustainable, inflation-adjusted income without running out of money.

A common question I get is, “Can we take out more money than what’s shown in this plan?” The answer is yes—but it comes with a trade-off.

If you withdraw more, you’ll simply leave less money behind for your kids. This model is built with a balance between lifetime income and legacy goals, but it can be adjusted depending on what’s most important to you.

Whenever I present this at BYU Education Week or other public settings, this is the slide where everyone takes out their cameras to snap a picture. And that’s totally fine—go ahead and take a screenshot if you’d like.

Some people ask, “Why are you so willing to share your ‘secret sauce’?”

Here’s the thing—the magic isn’t in the spreadsheet. Yes, you can take this same pattern and build your own version in an hour or two. But don’t think that means you’re done. Building the plan is the easy part—successfully following it for 25+ years is the real challenge.

The Perennial Income Model takes just a few hours to create, but it takes 30 years of discipline to implement successfully. Those who simply build a spreadsheet, invest, and then forget about it will not have a successful outcome.

When investor discipline fails, the plan fails. This brings us to the most crucial step in implementing the Perennial Income Model: Harvesting.

The Importance of Harvesting – (39:48)

Harvesting is the process of gradually shifting investments from riskier, more volatile assets (like equities) into safer, stable assets (like fixed income) once your goals for each segment are achieved.

Think of it like farming. A farmer spends months fertilizing, pruning, watering, and caring for their trees. But all of that effort only pays off if they harvest the fruit at the right time. If they pick the fruit too early, it’s not ripe. If they wait too long, it rots on the tree.

In the same way, retirees must harvest investment gains at the right time—locking in growth and preserving wealth instead of risking unnecessary losses.

Let me get back to the chart again. You’ll notice that each segment has a green number—that’s the target growth amount for each segment. Whenever a segment reaches that green target number, we have a conversation with our clients.

At that point, we ask do you want to shift this money into safer assets? Or do you want to keep it invested aggressively?

Since we work primarily with retirees, most prefer to take a more conservative approach once their target is met. This allows them to secure their income without worrying about short-term market fluctuations.

Without proper harvesting, the Perennial Income Model takes on unnecessary risk.

If a segment reaches its target amount, but the retiree keeps it invested aggressively, they risk losing that money in a downturn—delaying income and disrupting the plan.

But by locking in gains at the right time, we can ensure that near-term income remains stable and secure, long-term investments still have time to grow, and the retiree can enjoy peace of mind throughout retirement.

The Perennial Income Model is more than just an investment strategy—it’s a disciplined, structured approach to managing retirement income. It eliminates short-term volatility concerns. It protects against inflation over the long term. It provides a structured roadmap so retirees never have to guess what to do next. And most importantly—it works.

By following this approach, retirees can enjoy a steady, reliable, inflation-adjusted income—while still leaving behind a legacy for their children.

Now that we’ve covered how the plan works, let’s take a deeper look at how to implement this strategy successfully over time.

Harvesting is critical to the long-term success of the Perennial Income Model. At first glance, someone unfamiliar with the strategy might notice what appears to be a flaw in the plan.

Without proper management, the older a retiree gets, the more aggressively their portfolio is invested. Now, does it make sense for an 85- or 90-year-old to have all of their money in long-term, aggressive equities? Of course not. But that’s not how the Perennial Income Model actually works—as long as it is being properly harvested and maintained.

This is why the harvesting process—where we gradually shift investments from aggressive to more conservative holdings—is absolutely essential to the model’s success.

Let’s walk through an example of Segment 5 to illustrate this concept. We allocated $99,000 to this segment. We assumed a 7% growth rate—which means this money is projected to grow to $402,000 over 20 years. In year 21, this segment will begin distributing income for the next five years.

Because Segment 5 won’t be needed for 20 years, we invest it mostly in equities to allow it to grow over time. Now, let’s look at real-world returns. Historically, a growth portfolio has averaged 10% since 1950. But in this model, we are only assuming a 7% return—well below historical averages.

Now, let’s consider what happens if Segment 5 earns 9% instead of 7%. Instead of reaching $402,000 in 20 years, this segment would reach that goal in 16 years and 2 months. At that point, we would have a conversation with the client to discuss shifting some of this money into safer, more conservative investments.

This is exactly how harvesting works—we monitor each segment, and once a goal is reached, we lock in gains and reduce risk.

If you’re trying to implement this plan on your own, harvesting is by far the hardest part. Because you’re not just keeping track of your overall portfolio—you have to track each individual segment.

Over the years, our firm has developed specialized software that allows us to monitor each segment in real time.

For our clients, this means they can log in anytime to see how each segment is performing. They can track their progress toward income goals in a structured way.

Harvesting adds order and discipline to the investment process which results in better investment returns, lower risk, and less selling based on emotions.

How did we do? – (44:30)

At the start of this presentation, we outlined a few key objectives for an ideal retirement plan. Now, let’s go through them again to make sure we accomplished everything.

Is the plan goal-specific? We matched the Smart family’s current investments with their future income needs. The Perennial Income Model provides a date-specific, dollar-specific roadmap for their retirement.

Does it provide a distribution framework? We know exactly how much income the Smart family can withdraw each year while keeping their assets intact. This allows them to spend with confidence, knowing their plan is designed to last.

Even with ultra-conservative growth assumptions, the best annuity in America cannot match the inflation-adjusted income of the Perennial Income Model. If you are being sold an annuity right now, beware—because you can do so much better.

Another question I often get is, “Is this plan too rigid?” Absolutely not.

The Perennial Income Model is not set in stone—it is designed to be flexible and adaptable. Markets Don’t Move in a Straight Line. We make adjustments as market conditions change. If returns are higher than expected, we harvest early and adjust the plan accordingly.

Retirees may need more income than originally planned. Unexpected expenses like illness, family emergencies, or large purchases may arise. The plan allows for withdrawals and adjustments as needed.

Does the plan provide an investment framework? The model ensures that each segment is invested appropriately based on when the money will be needed. Short-term segments are conservative, while long-term segments maximize growth potential.

Do we coordinate all income sources to reduce taxes? Yes.

This model is a guideline for managing money in retirement. We continuously refine and optimize the plan to reflect new financial realities.

At the end of the day, this plan is about giving retirees confidence and control—while ensuring long-term financial security.

Each segment within the Perennial Income Model has a clear responsibility—to provide five years’ worth of income at a future date.

As you can see in the orange box, each segment is strategically invested to fulfill its future income responsibility. This structure allows retirees to invest with confidence. A goal-based plan like this is the antidote to panic during market volatility.

Frankly, I don’t know how anyone could create a retirement income plan without first mapping it out in a structured, logical way—just like we do in the Perennial Income Model.

Now, let’s talk about another critical aspect of retirement planning—coordinating all income sources to reduce taxes. Tax savings in retirement don’t happen by accident—they must be planned.

In the Perennial Income Model, we incorporate all sources of retirement income into our projections, including Social Security, pensions, and investment withdrawals.

We have found that mapping out future income significantly enhances our ability to execute tax-efficient withdrawal strategies.

How can a retiree make smart tax decisions without first understanding their future income stream? How could you possibly determine whether a Roth conversion is beneficial without projecting your future income and tax brackets?

This is why coordinating income distributions is so critical.

By carefully designing the Perennial Income Model, we can create a withdrawal strategy that minimizes taxes by pulling income from the right accounts at the right time. This ensures that retirees can keep more of their hard-earned money and avoid unnecessary tax burdens throughout retirement.

I’d say we met every one of these goals.

Through this plan, we have successfully protected near-term income from market volatility by keeping short-term investments in safe, low-risk assets.
We have protected long-term purchasing power by investing in equities that will grow over time to combat inflation.
We have provided clear guidelines for harvesting investments at the right time to reduce unnecessary risk.

Because of this structured approach, we can confidently say that this plan does everything we need it to do for retirees.

When we first rolled out this plan in 2007, it was almost immediately tested by the 2008-2009 financial crisis.

At the time, about half of our clients had already been transitioned into the Perennial Income Model, while the other half had not yet made the switch.

What we observed was fascinating.

Clients who were following the Perennial Income Model remained calm and disciplined during the market crash. They didn’t panic-sell their investments at a loss. They understood why they owned equities and when they would need them.

Meanwhile, many of the clients who weren’t yet using this strategy struggled. It wasn’t necessarily that their investments performed worse—it was that they lacked the structure and discipline that this plan provides.

This experience reinforced why a structured approach is so important—especially in times of market turmoil.

Benefits of the Perennial Income Model – (51:18)

One unexpected benefit of this model is that it acts as a “bad luck insurance policy” for retirees. What do I mean by that?

The five years before and after retirement are the most dangerous years for investors. If the stock market crashes right when you retire, it can severely impact your long-term financial security—unless you’re prepared.

Many of us remember people who retired in 2007, just before the financial crisis of 2008-2009.

During that time stocks dropped 50%. Many unprepared retirees had to sell their equities at a loss just to pay their monthly bills. Their retirement accounts were devastated.

The Perennial Income Model protects against this scenario by ensuring that retirees have enough safe, stable investments to ride out a market crash. Long-term investments have time to recover before they are needed.

So even if you are the unluckiest person in the world and retire right before a stock market crash, your long-term financial plan won’t be derailed—as long as you follow this model.

Another benefit is The Perennial Income Model protects us from our older selves.

Studies show that as we age, our memory worsens and our financial decision-making skills decline. Many retirees struggle with when to sell investments, when to adjust risk, or when to withdraw income.

A cognitively sharp, confident 65-year-old gradually transforms into a less confident, slower-to-comprehend 80- or 90-year-old. And the reality is—this will happen to every one of us, to some degree or another.

Our older clients who follow the Perennial Income Model are less prone to panic during market downturns because they’re continuing the same plan they’ve followed for years—giving them confidence even as they age.

One of the most unexpected benefits of this model is that it serves as a financial guardian when a spouse passes away. If you’re the only one watching this webinar today, chances are you are the designated financial decision-maker in your household.

Who will help your spouse make sound financial decisions if something happens to you?

It’s a cruel reality that a newly widowed spouse must make major financial decisions at the worst possible time—right after losing their partner.

Many widows and widowers experience shock, situational depression, and struggle to get through each day. Unfortunately, this is also the time when they are most vulnerable to fraud and financial mistakes.

Experience has taught me that more fraud is committed against new widows and widowers than any other group.

I’ve personally seen cases where a brand-new motorhome worth $100,000 was sold for $19,000. Homes and cabins were sold for hundreds of thousands below market value by panicked spouses who feared they wouldn’t have enough money.

When a spouse passes away, there will certainly be some paperwork to sign to transfer assets. But beyond that, the surviving spouse doesn’t have to make drastic financial decisions—they simply continue following the same plan they’ve been using for years.

This predictability and structure provide tremendous peace of mind during an incredibly difficult time.

The benefits of this model are clear. It’s goal-specific. It provides a structured framework for investing, withdrawals, and taxation. It protects against market downturns, cognitive decline, and financial vulnerability.

At its core, the Perennial Income Model is simply a common-sense approach to managing investments during retirement.

Summary – (57:24)

The Perennial Income Model is a commonsense approach to managing your investments during retirement. This model is not about chasing the highest possible returns. It is not a guarantee.

Instead, it is a structured plan to provide the most consistent, inflation-adjusted income possible. It’s also a strategy designed to minimize risk while maximizing long-term income stability while being a proven approach to managing investments for retirees.

In my experience, this is the best approach to managing retirement income that I’ve ever seen.

I get this question all the time, “If this strategy makes so much sense, why don’t all retirees use it?”

Here’s my honest answer. It’s more complex to create and manage. Unlike traditional investing—where you just buy mutual funds and let them grow—this model requires monitoring multiple investment segments and harvesting at the right time.

It requires ongoing adjustments. The plan is not static—it evolves over time as market conditions change and as investors meet their goals.

It takes more effort than traditional “buy-and-hold” investing. Accumulating money for retirement is simple—you just contribute and let your investments grow. But managing money in retirement is different—you need a structured withdrawal plan, tax strategy, and investment discipline.

Because this model requires careful tracking and adjustments, we’ve developed custom software tools that monitor the growth of each segment, alert us when it’s time to harvest gains and ensure every client stays on track with their long-term income plan.

The Perennial Income Model is designed for people who accept reality—that market timing is a gamble and that a structured, long-term plan is the smartest approach.

I’ve written a book about building a retirement income plan using the Perennial Income Model. If you don’t already have a copy, I invite you to scan the QR code or visit our website to request a complimentary copy.

At the end of the day, every retiree must ask themselves, “Will I outlive my money, or will my money outlive me?”

I don’t know everything about your finances. But I can tell you this. You are much more likely to have your money outlast you if you follow a structured plan.

Your retirement income plan should be goal-based and serve as a long-term guide for your financial decisions. It should drive your investment and withdrawal choices and influence your spending and gifting decisions.

Planning your retirement income is so much more than just buying an annuity or following an oversimplified withdrawal rule.

My hope is that this presentation has opened your eyes to a better way to manage retirement income.

By incorporating these strategies, you can face your financial future with confidence, have the peace of mind to freely pursue your retirement dreams, and enjoy retirement without the constant worry of running out of money.

The Perennial Income Model appeals to logical, goal-based investors. We know the economy and the stock market will always have ups and downs.

I appreciate you spending time with us today.

The purpose of this model is simple to provide a secure stream of income that keeps pace with inflation and to allow you to focus on what’s truly important—family, faith, and personal fulfillment.

That’s the real reason we use the Perennial Income Model.

Question and Answer Session – (1:02:35)

Scott Peterson: Now, I know there are some great questions coming in, and Carson has been answering them in the chat. But let’s take a few minutes to address some of the best ones.

Carson Johnson: We have some great questions and should take 5 minutes to answer these. How is the investment management fee factored into the plan?

Scott Peterson: When we show you this plan, our fee is already built in. We intentionally use conservative return assumptions to account for our management fee. If our management fee is 1%, it is already factored into the projections.

We don’t add additional costs on top of the plan—it’s all included.

This ensures that the numbers we present are realistic and achievable.

Carson Johnson: How does Peterson Wealth charge fees? We charge a percentage-based fee on assets under management. This fee is billed quarterly—we take one-fourth of the annual fee every three months.

Scott Peterson: If the annual fee is 1%, we take 0.25% per quarter. The fee is clearly listed on your statements—there are no hidden charges. Unlike commission-based advisors, everything is fully transparent.

Carson Johnson: How long will Peterson Wealth be around to manage this plan for me?

Scott Peterson: I get this question all the time—especially since retirement planning is a 30+ year process. First of all—yes, I’m 63 years old, and I understand the concern.

Right now, we have 18-19 people on our team, and every one of them believes in and follows the Perennial Income Model.

Carson, who’s answering questions online, is just over 30 years old. Our team of advisors is young, dedicated, and fully aligned with this approach. So whether you’re working with me or another advisor, you’ll always get the same plan and the same results—because our process is structured, repeatable, and built to last.

We also have a transition plan in place for when I retire. The Perennial Income Model will continue carrying on with or without me, ensuring you have the same trusted process for decades to come.

Carson Johnson: How Are Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs) Factored into the Plan?

Scott Peterson: When we create your plan we match your investments with your projected income needs, take into account Social Security, pensions, and RMDs, and make sure withdrawals are optimized for tax efficiency.

Every client is different, so RMD strategies vary from person to person. If you follow this plan, RMDs are naturally accounted for—you won’t have to scramble to figure out how to handle them later.

Carson Johnson:  When is the right time to start this strategy?

Scott Peterson: Reach out to us about a year before you retire. At that stage, we can help you optimize your 401(k) investments in preparation for retirement. We won’t start charging fees until you’re actually in retirement, but getting ahead of the process ensures everything is set up properly.

Carson Johnson:  Do you work with clients outside of Utah?

Scott Peterson: Yes, in fact, about 50% of our new clients are from outside Utah. So if you’re outside of Utah—we can still work with you and implement this plan for your retirement.

I really appreciate everyone joining us today. We look forward to talking with you soon. Have a wonderful day, and thank you for joining us!

Market Lessons Learned in 2023

Market Lessons Learned in 2023 – Welcome to the Webinar (0:00)

Scott Peterson: Hello, everybody. I’ll give it just a minute to have the rest of you come on. But, it’s good to be good to be with you today. I’m usually not the one presenting. I have a lot of other advisors that do this so I can see how it is in the real world.

But, I’m Scott Peterson and I’ll be hosting the webinar today. My partner, Jeff Lindsay, will be monitoring the chat feature. So if you have any questions throughout, he’ll be able to answer your questions. And then we’ll be hanging around for maybe 15 minutes or so afterward just to answer any questions that you might have.

So, let me just tell you about what we have planned today. I’m going to just give you a brief review of the recent history of the market and then I’ll share some thoughts about how we think you should consider managing your money during retirement. And then also at the end, I’ll give you some thoughts about investing in 2024. It’s kind of maybe a challenging year, and there’s a lot of things going on.

Market Cycles: Lessons from 1986 to 2023

Anyway, it was our most quoted New York Yankee Hall of Famer, Yogi Berra, who came up with the phrase, it was like deja vu all over again. And I guess, you know, in my mind, that’s what we had. It’s just another cycle of the market that happened this last year.

And so I’m just going to take you again back in time just a bit and share with you kind of well, what happened. I’m going to take you back to when my career began back in 1986. If you don’t mind, I know a lot of you have been investing for a long time, so you’ll recognize some of these market incidents. But, I’m going to take you back, let me see here, let me get my highlighter going here.

Alright, I’m gonna take you back to 1987, 1986. I started my career right here, and within a year or so, we had the black Monday, 1987. If you remember right, what happened then, I mean, I remember thinking maybe I’d rather drive a truck than be in this business because I didn’t have anybody’s, I really was brand new to the business, but I saw the turmoil and the fear people had thinking that we’re starting the great depression once again, that kind of thing.

But you see the markets have been on a tear through the 80’s. And then during a three-month period of time, the markets went down. Well, actually in a day it went down 33%, but it only stayed down for three months. And then we had the 90s, the roaring 90s, where we see the stock market was up 582% during that time periods. At the end of the roaring 90s, then we had the .com bubble burst through these years here. And then 9-11 where the markets were down over that three-year period of time, a two or three-year period of time, about 50%. Markets started doing well again, they were up 100% for a five-year period of time.

Understanding Bear and Bull Markets

And then all of a sudden, we had the financial crisis of ’08 and ’09, where the markets were down about 50%, a little over 50%, and only lasted for a couple of years. And then we had, of course, the big run-up from 2009 until the end of 2021 where the markets were up 400%. And then we had COVID come along. Markets dropped 33% in a month and recovered 33% in a month.

Then the markets went up as you see 114% after that. And then we’ve had our latest little hiccup, whatever we want to call that, where during this last year, during 2022, the markets were down 22%. And during 2023, they bounced back and now they’re up again.

And so I just like to point this out to you. It’s very difficult to time markets and to guess when these events are going to happen. But I also want to point out that these events, these downturns are just a part of the investment cycle. In fact, let me share with you a little bit more about this.

What I’ve done here is I’ve listed all the bear markets since the end of World War 2. And a bear market, again, can be defined as a drop in the stock market of at least 20%. And so here’s all the big bad drops since the end of World War 2. And you see, interestingly, the average drop in the market of a bear market, it’s 30%. So we lose 30%. I think an important thing to point out here is this number down here at the bottom right, 14. That’s how long they last, 14 months on average. And so, we have some really big bad drops in the market, but they only last but a short time, and then we move on and the markets go up again.

Now, fortunately, surely as bear markets will come along in the future and have come along, they’re always followed by a bull market. And so here, I’ve also listed all the big gains in the markets that follow the bear markets over time. You see the average gain of a bull market, you see the bottom, the bottom number there is 133%.

And so this is part of the cycle folks, and that’s what we’ve been through this last couple of years. It’s just, you know, we expect markets will go down, they stay down for a year or two, then they bounce back up. That’s just what they do.

And now, some of you might be thinking, well why do I subject myself to all of this? You know, this craziness. Why do I have to worry about it? Well, it’s because of this number right here that I want to share with you. The annualized gain from 1945 through all these market cycles to today is 11.2%.

And the problem is, if you ignore this and say, I’m just going to stick my money in some place safe that doesn’t have the volatility, then what happens is you’re denying yourself all this growth. And frankly, we have to be invested somehow in stocks with a part of your money just to keep up with the inflation. So that’s why it’s important to know this, but I also want to point out the cyclical nature of this. Like I said, it’s this deja vu. You know, we’ve seen this all before, and I promise we’ll see it again.

So now, you might be interested to know that since the end of World War II, this 11.2% return, the S&P has. If you would’ve put a thousand dollars at the end of World War II into the S&P 500, it would be worth over $2.5 million today.

So the question still remains, how should a retiree manage their money in an environment like this?

You know, we have the ups and the downs and it does get kind of crazy. So as I see it, the retirees have three options, or people retiring have three options. And so I just want to take some time and kind of go through what those options are and what you might want to consider doing.

So the three options are number one, a lot of people are frustrated. They don’t want to deal with any of this stuff, so they just go out and they buy an annuity. Many new retirees look at the complexity of managing their money and the complexity of creating a reliable stream of income during retirement, and they just flat out kind of give up, I think. That’s when they buy the annuity. After all, an annuity will guarantee you a stream of income for the rest of your life.

Now, Peterson Wealth Advisors, we don’t sell annuities. In fact, my advisors know the fastest way to get fired at Peterson Wealth Advisors would be to sell an annuity to one of our clients. In fact, we don’t even allow our advisors to receive commissions or to have licenses to receive commissions. So you’re not going to get an annuity from us.

But, you might be asking, well, why am I so against annuities? Well, there’s a lot of reasons, but I’ll tell you the underlying reason that the income streams that annuities provide will not, and do not keep up with inflation. That’s the problem. Inflation can be deadly if we don’t keep our investments up with the inflation rate. I just want to remind you of when it comes to inflation, inflation is the gradual, but nonetheless, lethal loss of purchasing power.

Drawbacks of Annuities and Inflation Risks

So $4,000, if you have an income of $4,000 a month today, it will only have $1,600 worth of purchasing power 30 years from now. And that’s just assuming the 3% inflation rate. As you all know, the inflation rate’s been quite a bit higher recently, but historically it’s been hovered around 3%. So unless you’re willing to take about a 60% cut in pay during your retirement, you have to figure out a way to keep up with inflation.

So, the idea, once we retire, we need to keep the magic of compound interest working in your behalf. And the only way that we’re going to keep up with inflation is to invest a portion of your money in equities or in stock-related investments. Now, certainly, not all your retirement funds should be invested in equities, but some of your investments should be dedicated to beating inflation. Then that brings us to our option number two. So, buying annuities is not going to work because we have to keep up with inflation.

Option two, managing the portfolio of your own investments. So I will tell you that the stock market and equities, they’re the right tool, and they’re a powerful tool that will help you to beat inflation. But they have to be, it’d have to be used correctly.

We see all the statistics, all the numbers. In fact, JP Morgan gives us a number that the average investor that invests in stocks, it’s about a 3% rate of return on the average, which is crazy because the stock market over a long period of time averages in the 10% to 11% range. But I think there’s just so many people that aren’t really trained in investing and are very reactionary, especially retirees. They think this is all the money I have, I have to protect it. So the first time the markets go down, they flee the markets and sell when stocks are down, which is not a good thing to do obviously.

So anyway, even though the stock market is your best long-term inflation fighter, it’s also temperamental. It’s unpredictable and even dangerous in the short term. So I think that’s the problem. We’re too emotionally charged as investors, so we don’t do a very good job.

So I find it interesting that the best educated, most experienced investment managers in the country can rarely beat the stock market average. You know, over a long period of time by implementing their market timing, stock picking strategies.

Now, many of you have heard about the investment legend Warren Buffet When anybody talks about investing, they say, well, Warren Buffett says, because he’s a good investor. But I want to point out that his mutual fund he manages, Berkshire Hathaway, has not been able to beat the stock market average for the past 20 years. I tell you this, to help you understand that you are delusional if you think that you have the ability to time the markets and to pick a superior investment mix that could beat the markets over a long period of time. I don’t think you can.

So the best of the best, the most well-funded, best educated, most experienced people can’t do it. I doubt that you’re going to be successful timing markets and so forth.

In saying this, I think some of you I’m sure have done a great job in saving for retirement. You’re disciplined, you didn’t get scared out of markets, and you’ve accumulated a lot of money for retirement, and I commend you, I congratulate you. But I also want to remind you that the distribution of funds over a retirement takes a completely different skill set than does the accumulation of retirement funds. See, when you retire, there’s so many questions that need to be answered. When you start, when you transition from accumulating to decumulating. Is this a different world?

So let me just throw a couple of these questions out to you. You still have to invest properly, right? So how am I going to invest? You know, you need the right mix of short-term less volatile investments, but you also need long-term inflation-beating investments.

Second question, how will I manage my money during market downturns? Well, you have the discipline to do the right thing and to make the right decision. How much money should I withdraw from my investments? How much do I dare withdraw? I mean, you’re going to be retired for a long, long time. You’ve got to figure this out.

And from which investments should I draw my income from? You know, there’s tax considerations to make. You want to pull your money from your Roth IRA or from your traditional 401K or from maybe a non-retirement account.

And then how do I coordinate my Social Security and my pension payments with my investment income for maximum tax savings? How do I manage my Required Minimum Distributions that I’ll have to take? Would a Roth IRA conversion be beneficial to me?

Now, here’s another question. I’ve heard that there are a lot of tax benefits that I could get by making charitable contributions directly from my IRA. Is this true? And how do I do it?

And here’s another one that I think people forget about. This question here I think is very important. Will I be able to manage all these issues throughout my entire retirement on my own? And then who is going to do this for my spouse when I’m gone?

The point I’m trying to drive home today is that investing and properly distributing is challenging, stressful, and it will consume your valuable retirement years and you probably won’t be too successful at it.

So, besides myself at Peterson Wealth Advisors, there’s nine CFP®s. We have a fully staffed operations team that does our trading for us. We have numerous CPA affiliates that we work with and a supporting staff. And it takes all of us to properly manage and know all there is to know and to do to properly manage our client’s money during retirement.

Now, I have 38 years of experience managing money, and I won’t be managing my own investments on my own during retirement. There’s just simply too much to keep track of. There’s tax laws, knowing how to invest, and interest rates. There’s just a lot going on.

This brings us to option number three which is to follow a time-tested retirement income plan. So following a plan is essential, and it’s the only way to maintain investment discipline. And we see very few investors end up retiring with an actual plan.

We believe that working without a plan is dangerous because without a plan, fear and greed will become your greatest influence. And emotionally driven investment decisions will never produce a good outcome. So we all need to develop a retirement income plan.

It was Benjamin Graham, he was a mentor, he’s a famous investor, but he is a mentor of Warren Buffett. He taught us, he said this: “The best way to measure your investing success is not by whether you’re beating the market, but by whether you’ve put in place a financial plan and a behavioral discipline that are likely to get you where you need to go.”

I believe that is very true. I think we need to define, first of all, what it is exactly that we need our plan to do for us. And so, I think the goal of our plan should be this. We need it to provide an inflation-adjusted stream of income that lasts through retirement with the least amount of risk. In my mind, a retirement income plan must do four things.

Creating a Retirement Income Plan

Make it Goal-Specific

First of all, I think it must be goal-specific. You know, there’s a big difference between a person who says when I retire, I would like to own a cabin at the lake. Versus a second person who says, I want a cabin by the lake when I retire in 20 years. I estimate it’ll cost me a million dollars. Therefore, I’ll need to save $2,164 per month for 20 years and get a 6% return on my investments to accomplish that goal.

Clearly, the first statement was a wish or a dream, I want a cabin by the lake. But the second statement is a plan. And any program that does not offer date and dollar specifics is a wish or a dream, not a plan. So in the world of finance, dreams rarely do come true, but plans usually do, or off times do.

So successful investing isn’t just buying the correct investment, but it also must include a plan as to when to sell that investment as financial goals are achieved. A goal-specific plan defines how much money will be needed, and then when it will be needed.

Provide an Investment Framework

Second, our plan needs to provide an investment framework to minimize risk in our own situation. We should strive to meet our investment goals by ascertaining all the risks and choosing the least risky path that will help us get to where we need to be.

So before we go any further though, I think we have to answer this one question. What is risk?

What is risk?

Well, we believe that risk is the loss of purchasing power. So in this context, I think the two greatest risks that destroy purchasing power for retirees are first of all, in the short-term, and when I say short-term, I’m referring to maybe less than five years.

I think the biggest risk to your purchasing power in the short term is a market loss. For example, if you have $100,000 invested, the market slows down and it leaves you with $50,000. Well, you’ve lost 50% of your purchasing power. But there’s another risk again, that we have to talk about is the long-term risk, that of inflation. And when I say long-term, I’m saying maybe 10 years plus.

So let’s say you invest your money, but it’s not very aggressive, it’s really safe. So 20 years from now, you still might have that same $100,000 that you started with. But if that $100,000 only purchases 50% of what you can purchase today, you still lost 50% of your purchasing power.

So there’s just these two different risks that we have to be aware of. Short-term market risk, and long-term inflation risk. So I look at it this way, on our timeline, we have risk on the left-hand side, then time on the bottom.

The risk of owning stocks over a long period of time goes down. The risk of inflation over a long period of time goes up. So the way we think about it, we need a plan that will protect our short-term income needs from market volatility, while at the same time protecting our long-term future income needs from inflation. So essentially, we need to create a plan that matches your future income needs with your current investment portfolio.

Provide a Distribution Framework

Let me say number three here, that our retirement plan needs to provide a distribution framework. This helps you to know how much you can and should distribute from your money, from your accounts during retirement.

It’s interesting that in retirement, you’re managing the biggest sum of money that you’ll ever have, but it also has to last a long time. So the question of how much can I or should I withdraw from my investments is very important. This must be figured out if you’re going to have a sustainable income stream throughout retirement and if you’re going to be able to enjoy your retirement experience to the fullest.

It’s interesting, as we work with clients, we see different tendencies. And I’ll say at least when it comes to distribution, I see two tendencies. I see the first group of people which is thankfully in the minority, they feel quite entitled. They’ve been saving for retirement all their lives and they’re retired so they’re going to spend their money on whatever they want. And so they blow through all their retirement money in the first 10 years of a 30-year retirement.

On the other extreme, which I think is more common, we see people who are afraid to spend any money at all. They may have a bunch of money and their account looks very, very healthy. They’ve saved wisely over the years, but they also realize that this has to last a long time. So they’re afraid to do anything. There’s extremes that they won’t go out to dinner. They won’t visit their kids in a neighboring state or things like that. Just because they’re afraid of spending money.

So, a distribution plan will help you to have the knowledge and the discipline to withdraw the appropriate amount of income throughout retirement with a distribution strategy in place you can spend with competence during retirement and understand that you can understand how much money you can and shouldn’t withdraw from your retirement funds.

Help Coordinate all Income Sources

And last, number four, we need a plan that will help us to coordinate all income sources to reduce our income taxes. Withdrawing money from the right type of account, from an IRA versus a Roth IRA, and so forth in coordination with your Social Security and pensions. Pension benefits at the right time can really enhance your tax efficiency.

Now, there are tax reduction strategies available to retirees that can significantly reduce your tax burden. But these tax savings opportunities just don’t happen by accident.  Distributions must be carefully planned in conjunction with our current tax loss. So the question I guess is how are we going to put together a plan that covers these four objectives?

The Perennial Income Model™ (24:39)

Well, we’ve put together that plan. Let me just introduce you to this or remind you about this. On this webinar, we have existing clients as well as we have people kind of wondering what we even do here.

For existing clients, this is how we manage your money now. This is how we grow it. This is how we provide the income that you need. For those not familiar with the Perennial Income Model, I’m going to introduce it to you now, and it’s a methodology that might just change the way you think about retirement and show you a better way to retire. It might even enable you to retire now when you thought you couldn’t.

So, in 2007, the Perennial Income Model was born. And as you’ll soon see, it’s just a common sense approach to managing investments during retirement. When I say common sense, I mean common sense. Because in our industry, there are so many people who have dedicated their lives to trying to guess the future of the market or to know when to be in and when to be out, and so forth. This does none of that stuff. It’s just a common sense approach where we want to match our clients’ future income with their current investment portfolio.

So instead of explaining it all myself, I’m going to just turn it over to a three-minute kind of commercial or video that explains a little bit about how the Perennial Income Model works.

– Start Video –

Congratulations, you made it to retirement. Retirement’s different now than what it used to be. Like it or not, employer-sponsored pension plans that provided past generations a steady paycheck throughout retirement have been replaced by 401k’s and IRAs.

Now, you are responsible to create your own stream of retirement income. In order to successfully manage your investments, there are a few obstacles to be aware of.

Longevity, as life expectancies continue to rise, you need to plan on creating a stream of income that will last for 30 years. Inflation, assuming only a 3% inflation rate, your dollar today will have just $0.41 of purchasing power in 30 years. Market volatility, the stock market has always had its ups and downs. Expect this to continue.

You might be asking yourself, how do I invest to keep up with inflation? How much should I withdraw annually? How do I keep from making mistakes during volatile markets? It sounds like you need a plan.

Introducing the Perennial Income Model, the plan we created to match your current investments with your future income needs. It’s designed to provide an inflation-adjusted stream of income that will last the rest of your life.

Let me explain how it works. Using a conservative goal-based approach to investing, we separate the money you would use to provide a stream of income into different accounts. Each account is dedicated to providing income for a five-year segment of retirement. Therefore, each of those segments has different objectives.

Segment one provides income for the first five years. So safety of principle is its objective. This should not be subject to a lot of market volatility, so we use conservative investments.

Segment two grows for five years and then provides income for years six through 10, and so on. Keeping up with inflation becomes increasingly more important in the latter segments. So we use stocks and other inflation-beating investments that can meet this goal.

As each segment meets its target, we preserve our gains by moving aggressive investments into more conservative ones. This provides a steady stream of income for future years.

The Perennial Income Model is a common sense approach to investment management that offers peace of mind with the objective to provide a reliable stream of retirement income. It allows you to have confidence during turbulent markets and to focus on what is truly important during this stage of life, enjoying your retirement. Call us to receive your own customized Perennial Income Model. Click here for more.

– End Video –

Scott Peterson: Now, I’d like to introduce you to a family. We’re going to build a time-segmented distribution plan, build a Perennial Income Model for, now this is just a hypothetical family. I don’t know if any of our clients are this handsome as this couple right here, but they’re the people we’re going to build it for.

We’ll just call him Tony Smart and his wife Kathy. Now, Tony we’ll say is a 65-year-old engineer. He and Kathy have been diligently saving for retirement all their lives. Now they’ve come to the time where they’re really truly ready to retire.

And so, let me tell you, over time and together they’ve accumulated a million dollars in their 401k and IRA accounts and they want to know how this million dollars should be invested in the Perennial Income Model, and how much income they could expect to receive from that sum of money.

Now, they’d really like to pass the full million onto their kids if they possibly could. So, please note that I’m going to show you a distribution plan on how to manage and distribute $1 million.

Now, the plan I’m sharing with you today is not just for millionaires. It works with smaller amounts as well as larger amounts of money. I just use a million dollars because it’s easier to follow the example as I explain how this whole thing works. Now, what we’re going to do is we’re going to invest all of the Smarts money, and we’re going to build a 25-year income plan.

Now, we’re going to break their investments up into six different segments, six different accounts. We call them segments, but the first five segments are responsible for providing income for a five-year period of time. And then segment six is dedicated to leaving the original million dollars that they stated that they wanted to leave to their kids.

So, segment one, we’re going to take $220,000 of the million dollars and invest it in segment one. This is a very ultrasafe kind of boring account. You see that we’re only assuming a 1% growth rate here.

Now, will it do better? Should it do better? Well, yeah. In a period period when we get 5% guarantees in our banks, it will do better than this. But let’s just be conservative and show this 1%. So what’s going to happen? We’re going to spend that $220,000 and the Smarts are going to receive $3,774 a month each month for five years.

So, again, it’s very safe, it’s free from this. Money can’t be in equities, it can’t be volatile, it can’t be going up and down because this is where the Smarts will be getting their monthly check from.

So now again, we use a very conservative 1% growth rate. Let me show you all of our growth rates that we use. We’re the only people that I know that manage things this way.

And so we have zero incentive to try to plug in these very unrealistic growth growth rates. And so I just want to make sure you understand that what we’re showing you is a very conservative approach to things.

Here in front of us, I have a study from Vanguard over the years. This is from 1926 to 2021. So this kind of gives us an idea, but I just want to point out that Vanguard, as you look at the top, the capital preservation.

That’s a very conservative portfolio, very like what we’d use in our segment one. Historically, it’s got a 6.9% return. Again, we’re just using the 1%. So here’s the Vanguard historical returns, and then here’s the numbers that we’re plugging into the program.

As you see, we’re really underestimating what we think we’ll get. But the point is, if this Perennial Income Model works at the very low assumed growth rates that we’re showing you, it’s going to work better in real life.

So let me move on to our segment two. So while the money in segment one is being distributed for the first five years, the balance of the million dollars is growing. Now, of this balance, we’re going to take an additional $220,000 and allocate this to segment number two.

Now, segment two will take over the rule of providing monthly income to Tony and Kathy when segment one runs out of money at the end of the fifth year. So this money will not be needed since it won’t be needed for at least five years. We can be a little bit more aggressive on how we invest this money. So you see, it’s in a conservative growth portfolio, and we’re assuming a 3% growth rate. Again, according to Vanguard, the historical return for a conservative growth portfolio is 7.7%. But we’re just still going to stick with that 3%.

So you see built within the system, you see between the fifth and sixth years, the Smarts have a built-in inflation adjustment so they’re going to receive more income. And we build that in automatically every fifth year, the clients will receive more income.

So let’s go to segment three. Segment three is dedicated to providing income for the third five-year segment of retirement, or years 11 through 15. Now, because this money is not necessary to provide income for 10 years, this money can and should be invested just a little bit more aggressively.

It’s in a moderate portfolio, so it means we have about half in stocks and half in bonds. And again, we’re showing just I think a very conservative growth rate of 5%. Historically, this kind of account, a moderate growth account, according to Vanguard, has received about 8.7%. So again, we’re being conservative.

But you see now at 5%, we’re initially putting that, let me get my pointer out here. We’re starting with $181,000 and the idea is to have it grow to be at 5%, $298,000 in preparation for providing income in year number 11. And you see the Smarts every fifth year, again, they take a cost of living adjustment raise.

Okay, segment four. Now we’re in a moderate growth portfolio because we don’t need the money for 15 years. So of the million dollars, we’re going to put $141,000 of the original million here. And the 6% growth rate, we’re going to turn this into $346,000 in 15 years. Again, the Smarts get a little bit of a raise, the cost of living adjustment in the 16th year.

Now, segment five is given $99,622 of the original million dollars, and it has 20 years to grow. So, the target of segment five is to have this money be worth $402,000 in a 20-year period of time. And so, almost all of segment five needs to be invested in equities. Again, in the early segments, we’re worried more about market volatility. In these latter segments, we’re worried more about inflation. So, when I say equities, it’s going to be a diversified portfolio of large US stocks, medium-sized stocks, small stocks, international stocks, and so forth.

This is how it looks, the last segment as you see, we call it our legacy segment. The Smarts mentioned that they wanted to be able to replace or have a million dollars at the end of their lives to be able to pass on to their kids. So if $136,237 of the original million dollars is invested in the legacy segment, again, this has got to be an all-equity segment, we’re assuming an 8% growth rate. And remember, stocks over a long period of time average 10% to 11%. But at 8%, we will turn that $136,000 into a million dollars at the end of 25 years.

A couple of things I just want to point out as we look at this thing, the big picture here is this. I’m harping on this, but I think this is an important point. We use very low, and I think unrealistically low assumed growth rates. Again, we’re not trying to show you the highest numbers in the world. We just want to put together a plan that works. We believe you’ll be able to do better over time than what we’re projecting.

Another thing I want to point out here is this. You would think that we truly are spending all of segment one, that’s providing that monthly income and all of segment two is providing the monthly income.

But look what happens. This is the actual account balance. You see that over the years, the account’s really not going down, staying level. So that’s because as we’re spending segments one, segments two, all the other segments are growing for you.

And then last, I want to point out this here again. We start with a million dollars, we end with a million dollars. But by using this methodology, it spins off more than one and a half million dollars during a lifetime. So this is how it works.

Now, I present this at Education Week. And so this is where I see everybody grab their cameras and take a picture of this thinking okay, here’s their secret sauce, a special formula. This is how I could do it. And I know how to do a spreadsheet. I can do this myself. I’ll just copy this. But there’s so much more to this than the spreadsheet, I promise.

So I just want to warn you about this. You know, a distribution plan, it takes a couple of hours to create. But it takes 25 or 30 years of discipline to successfully implement. So those who create a spreadsheet, invest, and then forget about it or abandon their plan will not have a successful outcome. So when investor discipline fails, the plan fails. The essential step of harvesting a time-segmented program is really where the rubber meets the road. And I’m going to introduce that to you, but it’s not in the creation of the spreadsheet. That’s why we’re so willing to show this to you because the magic isn’t here. The magic is in the harvesting and the managing.

The Importance of Harvesting (40:50)

So let me explain what harvesting is all about. So simply stated, the process of harvesting in financial terms is transferring riskier, more volatile investments into conservative, less volatile investments once the target or a goal of each segment is reached.

So think about a fruit farmer, he toils throughout the year in his orchard, fertilizing, pruning, spraying, and irrigating his trees. All of this work is done because the farmer knows that in the fall, in a very, very short window of time, his trees will produce delicious fruit. Now, he knows that he must harvest the fruit when it’s absolutely ripe and ready to be harvested. Harvesting too early or too late in the season will ruin the fruit.

Now, just because the farmer has to harvest only on a select few days of the year, it doesn’t mean the fruit needs to be eaten then, right? There are many methods that can preserve the fruit once it’s gathered. It can be frozen, bottled, canned, dried to preserve its flavor and nutritional value.

So the means of preserving the fruit is not nearly as important as harvesting at the right time. So now, just as a farmer picks his fruit at the right time so it can be preserved for a future day, retirees should also harvest their investment gains and preserve them once the goals are achieved for each segment.

The Importance of Harvesting in a Time-Segmented Plan

We believe that unnecessary risk is brought to the time-segmented plan if it’s not properly harvested when the investment has ripened. Or in other words, has grown to its target amount. So I’m gonna go back to the chart here and maybe take you through a scenario.

If I was my own competitor, I’d be looking at the chart saying, hmm, the only thing these guys are doing is they’re getting more aggressive with the investments as a person ages. That doesn’t make any sense at all, right? But that’s not how it happens because of the harvesting process. The success of monitoring and harvesting are imperative to the success of the time segmentation program.

I just want to point out how this harvesting works. Take a look at those green numbers throughout the page. Those are the goals that every segment must meet in order to have sufficient income and in order to be able to spin off sufficient income for the following five years for which they’re responsible.

So I’m going to take you through a harvesting process and show you exactly how that works. So I’m going to pick on segment number five. You see here, we’re assuming a 7% growth rate. We’re putting $99,000 in that, and we’re letting it grow for 20 years. So at 7%, we’re going to grow this to $402,000 in the 20th year, and then it’ll be ready to spin off income for years 21 through 25.

So, with all the peaks in the values, it’s going to be mostly in equities. But with all the peaks in the values of the stock market, the growth portfolios managed to get more like a 10% rate of return. And again, we’re illustrating 7%. But what would happen if we were to get a 9% rate of return versus the illustrated 7%, which is very realistic, and actually 9% is less than the average for a growth portfolio over the years.

What would happen is we would end up, let me get my pointer out here. So what would happen, if it got a 9% rate of return versus the projected 7%, in 16 years and two months, we would hit the goal of $402,000. We suggest to our clients whenever we hit that goal that we take risks off the table and we turn this column of investments into something more conservative.

Again, we’re starting now with an almost entirely 100% stock portfolio. And once we hit our numbers, if the markets are good to us early, then we hit that $402,000, then we recommend taking risk off the table. So I hope that helps you understand the harvesting process.

The Value of Harvesting in Recent Market Conditions

The question I do have for you, how important do you think harvesting was to our clients during these past 10 years? Let me remind you what happened. We had this big, big run-up in the stock market. The markets were way ahead of schedule as far as we’re concerned.

In 2021 and 2020, we were able to move a lot of our clients’ money out of equities because they’d met their goals and basically harvested the gains, and locked them into more conservative investments. Then we had the big correction come on this last year. So anyway, the program works if we just follow the program and harvest as needed.

So the bottom line is harvesting adds order and discipline to the investment process, which results in better investment returns, lower risk, and less selling based upon emotion. So you’re selling your stocks once you reach goals, not selling them once because you’re nervous and you want to get out of them.

So in real life, what we do with the Perennial Income Model, we plug in Social Security and pension benefit numbers into the equation which really provides a great projection on what your retirement income would look like. It also ends up being a valuable tool that we use to help minimize taxes during retirement. You can reach out to us, let us plug your pension, your Social Security, and your investment numbers into the Perennial Income Model to show you what a retirement plan can look like.

So, the question is, why doesn’t everybody do it this way? Many of you might be thinking, well, this is just a common sense approach to investing, and it is. I’ve thought a lot about it. Why doesn’t everybody do it this way?

Well, I’ll tell you, it’s more difficult to do. It’s more difficult to manage. We’re watching every segment. The returns we’re harvesting at the right time and so forth, so a little bit harder to manage, I think that’s one of the reasons. And you have to put in the infrastructure to do so.

We’ve also had computer programs developed to help us monitor, to harvest at the proper time. It’ll be very difficult, frankly, to try to do this on your own and to watch over every segment to harvest properly. But I think that’s why most other advisors don’t do this.

The other reason they don’t do this is when you turn on the financial news network, you listen to any podcast, webcast, you know, there’s so many people in our industry who believe that financial management is trying to beat the market. Guessing when to be in, guessing when to be out. The academic world’s already refuted the claim to be able to do so over long periods of time. But the point is, you don’t need a plan like this if you think that you know what the future is. You’ll just get in at the right time and get out at the right time and so forth.

But a plan like this is only for those that are intellectually honest enough to recognize that the market timing and beating the market through superior investment selection, all those things are illusions. That’s why everybody doesn’t do it this way. If you know what the markets are going to do tomorrow, again, which we don’t. You don’t need to plan like this.

So, a time-segmented approach to investing, or the Perennial Income Model, is designed for people who don’t know what the stock market will do next because we don’t know. We just don’t know.

What should you do now? (49:23)

So, my question for you now, just to kind of wrap this thing up, what should you be doing now? Well, if you’re not a client and now that you’ve seen how the Perennial Income Model model works, what should you be doing?

Get a Copy of “Plan on Living”

Well, I would suggest number one, go to our website, Petersonwealth.com, and get a copy of our free book, Plan on Living, which explains the Perennial Income Model in greater detail. It’s free, just catch up to us. You can ask for it online and we’ll send it right out to you. So that’s the first thing.

Get to Know your Pension Plan and Social Security Benefits

Second thing, if you have yet to retire, I’d say get to know your pension plan and your Social Security benefits, and maybe consider ways to enhance your income from these sources.

Contact Peterson Wealth

Third, I would suggest to contact us. This is free, to plug your Social Security, pension benefits, and your investment values into the Perennial Income Model. Let us show you how good your retirement could be.

Match Current Investments with Future Income

Number four, I would suggest matching your current investments with your future income needs. That might be the money in your 401k. Maybe consider how much money you think you’ll need in the early years of retirement versus later. And then match it with your future income needs.

And I’d say, if you think you’re going to need the money in zero to five years, your money should be primarily invested into fixed income, short-term bonds, CDs, money markets, accounts, that kind of thing.

If you think you’ll need the money in between six and 10 years, maybe an equal mix of equities versus fixed income. And then 10 years and beyond, you should probably be invested in a very diversified portfolio of equities and keep it a hundred percent stock. So this is something you can consider now, and if you need help with that, just let us know. We’ll give you some guidance on that.

Stay in Touch

And then last, stay in touch. Let us be a resource to you as you prepare for retirement. Again, distributing retirement assets is more challenging than the accumulation of assets was during your working career. And I might add, it’s less forgiving.

So oftentimes, the advisor that helped you accumulate for retirement isn’t adept when it comes to helping you manage the retirement distribution phase. So you need a professional to help you develop and stick with a retirement income plan. Many of you will have Social Security questions, pension questions, investment questions, and tax questions before you retire. Again, I’m just offering our services, let us be a resource to you.

Now for just the clients that are watching this, our existing clients, my recommendation is, well, the plan works. I think this cycle that we’ve been through, the down market, now it’s come back up again. You know, you’ve had the steady income, you weren’t selling stocks at a loss. So stick with the Perennial Income Model, have faith in the plan. This was born in 2007. It was immediately tested right out of the gates, ’08 and ’09. We’ve had now three corrections since we started this. And the plan works this, just have confidence in it and stick with it.

There’s hundreds, many hundreds, I think we have 600 clients across America that have adopted the Perennial Income Model. And so we know what we’re doing. And again, this works out, But also, reach out to your advisors with any questions that you might have. And also, I’d recommend that if you have friends or family that are, they’re considering retiring, get them on our website. Let’s get a book for them. We could let them know how this whole thing works.

Now, I just want to end at this part right here and tell you the Perennial Income Model, again, time segmented. We kind of divide things up as you’ll need the money over your retirement. But it provides peace of mind. In 2007 and 2008, again, it was immediately tested. It was born in 2007. And I should say in 2008 and 2009 when the markets went down so dramatically, it was tested and we had the opportunity to only get about half of our clients converted over to the Perennial Income Model.

The half that were converted did so much better. And I wouldn’t say investment-wise, but they did so much better behavioral-wise. They didn’t make the big mistakes because they could see how their money was allocated and when it would be used at a future date. After that experience, we decided that the only way we were going to manage money for our clients was through the Perennial Income Model.

So in summary, today’s markets are cyclical and will continue to be. Equities will beat inflation over time, but you have to know what you’re doing with them. It’s difficult to have a successful retirement without following the plan.

And then the last thing, our recommendation, you must match your current investments with your future income needs. So normally I’d say, well, this is a wrap. But given its election year, I want to just address one thing because we get a lot of questions on elections.

Emotional Investing: Politics (54:58)

How should I be investing during an election year? We have noticed, and I’ve been doing this for a long time, that we often make emotionally charged decisions based upon our politics. And we work with very conservative clients, as well as we have a lot of liberal clients that are spread throughout the country. So it’s interesting to watch those whose party is out of favor, that they think that the end of the world is imminent.

Now, I’m just telling you, we can’t let our feelings about the current resident of the White House influence our investment decisions. And let me share with you a couple of examples that just drive this home, and then we’ll conclude.

Invesco Dynamic Energy, XLE, is an exchange-traded fund, and it holds 25 different oil and gas company stocks. So I think it’s very representative of the overall petroleum industry.

Well, which president was the most oil and gas-friendly in our history? Well, I would agree, you’re probably thinking it’s President Trump. Actually under President Trump, the United States became the largest producer of oil in the world, and we became energy independent.

Who was the unfriendliest president when it comes to the petroleum industry? Well, I agree with you what you’re thinking. It’s probably President Biden. He’s declared a war on the oil industry. It’s interesting to know that during the Trump presidency, XLE, now what you’d think that XLE, this oil and gas exchange-traded fund would do very well. But during the Trump presidency, XLE went down almost 37% during his four years.

During the first three years of Biden’s presidency, XLE has surged 150%. So it happened exactly opposite from what you think it would do. Now, it swings both ways. Let me give you another example. Here’s Trump’s presidency down 37%. And then up, and then Biden’s is up 156%. Now it goes the other way too.

Which president is the most environmentally conscious? I think you’re probably thinking, well, probably Joe Biden. With his Green Energy Initiatives, he’s diverted billions of our tax dollars toward green energy.

So this solar energy, or the symbol on this is TAN. It holds 51 different stocks that are all associated with the solar energy. Now, TAN during Trump’s presidency was up 538%. And during Biden’s presidency, then it was down 53% for the first three years. Excuse me, we have to update those numbers, but it’s down actually 53%.

So the point I’m trying to make is this happens all the time. We think, the markets are going to go one way because of who’s in the office, and it doesn’t happen the way we think. So just be careful. Every successful investor I’ve ever known was acting continuously on a plan, and every failed investor we’ve ever known was acting continually by following current events.

I guess the point I’m trying to make, if you want to sleep better at night, divorce current events and your politics from your investments.

Question and Answer (58:23)

So let’s go with a question and answer period. Let’s take about 10 or 15 minutes. Jeff, do we have any questions that we should address?

Jeff Lindsay: Sure, yeah. I’ve been answering some of these, but it’d be interesting to get your take on some of these as well. There’s a question about the inflation rate. What inflation rate do we kind of use, just in general? And why? Why do we use what we use?

Scott Peterson: Got it. You know, in the Perennial Income Model, correct me, Jeff, if I’m wrong. I think we use a 2.6% inflation rate within that.

Jeff Lindsay: 2.4%.

Scott Peterson: 2.4%, okay. So we used a 2.4%. Now you think, well, inflation’s been sky high, it was 8% last year or something, something crazy thing like that. Probably 5% this year, I don’t know exactly what it is. But the point is, over a long period of time, 3% is kind of the average inflation rate because there’s going to be periods of high inflation like now.

But also remember over the last 10 years prior to this last year or two, inflation was running about 1%. And so it does average out. So we used a 3% inflation rate. I see people driving themselves crazy when they start plugging in 8% inflation rates into their calculations, inflation’s not gonna run at 8% forever. In fact, it’s come down from that. So hopefully that answers your question on inflation.

Jeff Lindsay: So then another question about the Perennial Income Model. When is the best time to start into the income model? Thinking about kind of the end of your career, the market might go down right at the end. What would be the kind of the best time to start?

Scott Peterson: So we’re a little crazy, I would say because sometimes we talk to people and make recommendations inside their 401k. So we’re not actually managing their money, we’re just kind of giving them some direction prior to retirement.

But usually, unless you feel very uncomfortable with your own decision-making, usually we tell people to keep your money in your own 401k plan, but then you kind of match up within your 401k, the Perennial Income Model. So you could have part of your money in your 401k in a very conservative bond portfolio. Part of your money, probably the bulk of your money should be in more equity-related kind of things.

But the Perennial Income Model is built for income. So if you’re not taking income right now, I would suggest you don’t do the Perennial Income Model until you do need income.

Jeff, if you want to chime in on any of this too, Jeff’s my partner and my right hand, and actually was one of the developers of the Perennial Income Model. So he’s not just a pretty face, certainly, right? So if you have any recommendations, Jeff, please jump in.

Jeff Lindsay: So, the only other thing I’d add to that is with the last few years of retirement and thinking about how we operate and how we think about things, it might make sense to get a little bit more conservative with some of your investments, knowing that you might need to use those investments in the first five years of your retirement, right?

So there’s a little bit of kind of nuance to that, but yeah, for the most part, until you need income, usually people don’t set up the overall income model.

Scott Peterson: I’ll tell you this too, is the Perennial Income Model, when it’s all said and done, you’ve seen how we have stocks and bonds or a place for conservative investments. We find when we put this together for people, it usually works out to be about a 60% stock, 40% bond portfolio, kind of in that range. Like 50/50, 60/40, someplace in there. So if you’re a year or two away from retirement and you’re a hundred percent stock, now that markets are up, you might want to maybe take some risk off the table and be a little bit more conservative with part of your money.

On the inverse, if you’re a hundred percent in bonds because you’re retiring in the next year or so, you should have some money in stocks too, right? But usually, by the time people come to us, if they have about a 50/50 mix or maybe a 60/40 stock, 40% bond portfolio, that’s about the right mix.

Jeff Lindsay: So there were a couple of questions about modification of the plan. You showed one version of this for the Smart family. The questions are kind of around, well, what if I’m 75 or 80 when I retire and I don’t need 25 or 30 years of income? Or what if I’ve got Social Security that I’m planning on taking later in retirement or pensions later in retirement? Is it okay to modify the plan?

Scott Peterson: Yeah, in fact, I guarantee it. With what I showed you today, we didn’t even plug in Social Security numbers, pension numbers. We have some people that they retire and they have sufficient income from Social Security and pensions. They hardly need money out of their plan. Other people are very dependent upon it.

So yes, it’s modified. We look at this as not set in cement, it is suggested all the time. But what it is, it’s a kind of a living document that helps us to know how to manage money during retirement. And so there’s always adjustments to this. And I’ll tell you this too, I mean, it’s obsolete on day one, right? Because the markets aren’t going to do exactly what we’re projecting.

And so as time goes on, we have clients take more or less out of their plan, the investments do better than what we’re projecting. And so we have to adjust the plan. So this is just a guideline, and that’s why I’d recommend if you have any questions about us, let us run the numbers for you in your own situation. And you’ll see there’s a lot of modifications, a lot of things we can do with this.

Jeff Lindsay: There was a question about, does the model take into account taxes?

Scott Peterson: In the last chapter of the book, we wrote specifically about how to use the model as a tax guide. So the model itself that we showed you today does not take into consideration taxes, but let me just ask this question for whoever asked.

How would you know whether you should do a Roth conversion or not without projecting your income over a 25 or 30-year period of time? So, I mean, it’s a great tax planner. It helps us to kind of know how to recommend courses of action.

So the model that I showed you today doesn’t, but tax planning is just a central part, a very integral part of what we do here. And we do our tax planning based upon the Perennial Income Model.

Jeff Lindsay: Let’s see, there was a question about kind of our take on 2023, some things that we’ve learned there. I know that was kind of part of the expected presentation here. So do you want to give some thoughts on what we learned in 2023?

Scott Peterson: Yeah, well I’ll say the drop in the market in 2022 was pretty aggressive. But the rebound was equally aggressive. And we see this oftentimes with these market gyrations where markets go down, markets come up. And I think I showed that slide earlier on that I think the most important thing to remember is market downturns are very temporary. They last, on the average since World War II was what, 14 months I believe.

For those of us that do this every day, we think, okay, the markets are down. There’s some things we can do tax-wise. We can make some different moves here and there. We wait for it to come back up, And it always has. It’s never failed to not come up. And so I don’t think we learned anything new except it was, again, reiterated in our minds. Things are temporary when they go down, and these things are cyclical, and that’s just how it is.

Jeff Lindsay: There was a question on your opinion on gold and silver.

Scott Peterson: I think in the book, and if you want to have some additional information, reach out to us. But gold is never, we always hear on the advertisements on TV, it’s a great inflation fighter. It’s not. It’s barely beating inflation because of the recent surge in gold over a long period of time.

And so if you want to have gold and silver strictly as an insurance policy, that’s fine. But I don’t view it as an inflation-beating investment. Jeff, do you have anything to add to that?

Jeff Lindsay: Yeah, I mean, it’s interesting when you think about we like the stock market because these are companies that are out there doing something, putting something out into the world. You get a dividend, you expect the growth of the company, all those kinds of things. And gold and silver is something that’s pretty and we hope it goes up in value.

You think about the big rage lately has been crypto, right? So you buy crypto, so you can hopefully sell it for a higher price. And I think that gold and silver are very similar actually in that way.

Scott Peterson: Yeah, it is. Gold and silver never pay a dividend. When I invest money, I’ll give you an example. I go to Costco like many of you, and I see people, their carts loaded with very expensive stuff halfway to the back of the store.

I’m thinking, that’s the company I want. I want to own this company versus a chunk of metal because I know Costco makes a lot of money on all of us.

Jeff Lindsay: What’s our timeframe, Scott?

Scott Peterson: I’ll give maybe a couple more questions.

Jeff Lindsay: There was a question based on just kind of what we know with our clients, what percentage of our clients are meeting their targeted income or the PIM goals that we’ve kind of put out there? It’s a good question.

Scott Peterson: Yeah, that is a good question. You know what I would say, because we use such conservative growth assumptions, I think our clients over time, they meet them. And so we really don’t run into problems.

Jeff Lindsay: And obviously, that conservative kind of approach is good. I’d say when goals are not met, it’s actually more often because something else happened in a client’s life. They decided to buy something or they decided to live on more than they expected.

And these kinds of things that kind of mess up the plan. The market is always volatile and always does kind of crazy things in any given year. But over a long period of time, it doesn’t surprise you very much.

Scott Peterson: Yeah, you’re right. Over a long period of time, it doesn’t. So, I think that’s a point well taken. The investments don’t get messed up. The clients sometimes will do things differently than what we projected. But then again, that’s the beauty of the plan.

We can make adjustments within the plan when that happens. Because life does happen. You know, people get sick and die or people buy things that they weren’t expecting to buy or have expenses, and so forth. And so the Perennial Income Model is very adaptive.

Jeff Lindsay: Yeah, if you had a plan that’s not flexible, that’s not realistic to real life.

There’s a question about, Scott, what do you think about the infinite banking model, like bank on yourself using life insurance?

Scott Peterson: This answer will take 2 to 3 minutes, but I think it’s worth it. So, early in my career, I’m talking 1986, 1987. You could buy a life insurance policy. You could buy a $50,000 life insurance policy. You could put a million dollars into the policy, call it a life insurance policy for the IRS, and then you could borrow money out at one-half of a 1% return. And meanwhile, the money in the policy would be in the policy/investment portfolios also.

So you could put your money into stocks and then get the money out at half a percent rate return, I mean, half a percent loan rate and completely bypass the IRS. Well, I remember seeing an ad from Merrill Lynch, taking out full-page ads about this wonderful tax dodge. You call your investments life insurance and then you don’t have to pay the IRS anything. Well, that didn’t last very long as you can imagine. The IRS jumped into that, changed the tax laws.

Now you can still do the same thing except you have to buy a certain amount of life insurance for every dollar that you put in the plan. So basically, it made it a much more expensive thing. So you couldn’t just buy $50,000 anymore and put a hundred million into it. You had to buy $5 million worth of life insurance to put a million into it. Well, that really destroyed that wonderful tax dodge back in the 80’s.

But there’s still people that promote that. You can get your money out tax-free and all this stuff as long as you buy enough insurance. But what happens, you have to buy so much insurance that really detracts from the investment gains. So you’re never going to earn enough money to make this a viable investment because you have to buy so much insurance. I hope that makes sense to people.

Jeff Lindsay: Great, I think those are most of the main questions. Hopefully, I didn’t miss any of them. I had quite a few come through that I was able to answer as they came in as well.

Scott Peterson: Well, I’ll tell you what. Let’s just end right now, but I will tell you if you have any questions or you know, specific questions or you’d like us to run a Perennial Income Model for you, please reach out to us. Just email us or get on our website. And again, please order the book if you haven’t received that yet, I think that would be very informative to you.

Anyway, I thank all of you for participating today and for our existing clients. Hopefully, that was a good review for those who are not yet clients and wanting to know how this worked I hope that explains the Perennial Income Model and we covered things which are important to your own retirement.

So thank you very much everybody, and have a wonderful day.

How does the Perennial Income Model™ Offer You Protection?

The Perennial Income Model™ for Retirement: Welcome to the Webinar (0:00)

Scott Peterson: Well welcome, my name is Scott Peterson. I’m the managing partner of Peterson Wealth Advisors. It’s good to have all of you with us today. We appreciate the time that you’re willing to spend with us today.

I know we have a mixture of existing clients who are familiar with the Perennial Income Model™ as well as some non-clients that are wondering what this presentation is all about.

I can promise both the client as well as the non-client that you’ll all benefit from this presentation. Clients will be reminded of how their money is being invested and how the income is actually being created to support them in retirement.

And our non-clients will be introduced to a unique program, our proprietary retirement income plan we call the Perennial Income Model. It could possibly change the way you look at retirement and it’s a plan which could really enhance your retirement experience.

This webinar has been advertised as how the Perennial Income Model can protect you in the down market. It should have been advertised “How Does the Perennial Income Model Offer you Protection?” I wish to apologize to those who are attending this webinar thinking that we can show you how to never lose money in a down market.

To be clear, we’re not suggesting that your investments will be less susceptible to market fluctuations than if they weren’t in the PIM (Perennial Income Model). Okay, that’s not the kind of claim that we or anybody else can make, nevertheless the Perennial Income Model still offers a lot of protection in a lot of different ways and we’ll share those with you today.

The Perennial Income Model provides investing guidelines, distribution guidelines, and guidelines to assist in reducing taxes throughout retirement. That’s the kind of protection that we’ll be talking about.

So we also advertised this webinar to be hosted by Jeff Lindsay and myself. And as Jeff and I talked we thought it’d be a lot more interesting if we had more participants, so we’ve decided to have some of our colleagues join us in hopes that’ll make it a little bit more exciting.

We have a great team of advisors here and I want you to get to know all of them. So Jeff and I will be the only advisors on the Q&A at the end of the webinar.

A Plan for a Successful Retirement (3:10)

Okay, so retirees need to have a financial plan to follow in order to have a successful retirement. I really believe that this is true. We recognize that most retirees are going through retirement without having any type of formal plan at all. There’s no plan to create and maintain their retirement income.

The Risks of Going Without a Financial Plan

Working without a plan is dangerous. And without a plan, fear and greed become our greatest influence. And emotionally driven investment decisions will never produce a good outcome. So you need a plan that is designed to address your family’s specific needs.

But before we go any further, I want to talk about what a plan isn’t – a product – because there’s a lot of that out there these days. And buying a product is not a substitute for a plan, okay.

Annuities: An expensive substitute for a retirement plan

Many of you’ve been hit up about buying annuities. We find annuities are a very expensive substitute for having a plan. They never keep up with inflation, they lock your money up for years, and they pay some of the highest commissions in the investment world.

The second thing that we find is a rule of thumb guidelines that are out there. Rule of thumb guidelines lacks specifics and may not address your individual income needs.

Retirement Rules-of-thumb: May not be the answer

There are unfortunately a lot of rule-of-thumb ideas that have been passed around for generations and are still with us today. Let me show a couple of them out there because I’m sure many of you have been exposed to this.

60/40 Rule: We have the 60/40 rule that you know if you put 60% of your money in stocks and 40% in bonds, well then you should be okay for retirement. Okay, well the 60/40 rule lacks specifics.

As far as when you should pull money out of stocks, when you should pull money out of bonds, how you should create your income. None of that’s available with the rule of thumb 60/40.

Withdraw 4%: We also have the rule of thumb withdrawal 4% per year guideline. Now it might work if you’re properly invested. Again, we’re lacking the specifics, you know, if all your money is sitting in an account that’s earning 3% and you’re pulling 4% out, well it’s obvious that you’re just going to lose money over your retirement and certainly not keep up with inflation.

Monte Carlo simulations: Another one of my favorite pet peeves is that of Monte Carlo simulations. So this is when you sit down with an advisor who says, well historically if you would have invested x amount of money this way and withdrawn x amount of money, you would have been successful x amount of the time, you know, 79% of the time.

Again, there’s no specifics, and it’s always looking in the past. If you would have done this, this is what it would have generated.

You know, you wouldn’t drive your car around town by looking exclusively through the rearview mirror. Why would you want to manage your investments that same way?

And then the last one that’s kind of more popular. It’s more accurate, but it’s kind of a scary way to live life, is using a guardrails suggestions.

Guardrails: a suggestion that you tie your withdrawal amounts from your retirement funds to the movement of the stock market Now, I can’t imagine basing my spending decisions throughout my retirement on the movements of the stock market.

And I can’t think of a worse way to spend retirement than feeling the need to watch the day-to-day movements of the stock market again to determine how much money I can spend.

I guess the point I’m trying to make is that the investment industry has not given the retiree any real good options when it comes to creating a stream of income to last throughout retirement.

The Perennial Income Model (6:53)

The Perennial Income Model, it’s not a product. It’s not a rule-of-thumb to follow and it certainly won’t require you to monitor every movement of the stock market.

It’s a methodology to follow that has been successfully designed to provide each of our clients with a tailor-made framework to follow to create the most reliable stream of inflation-adjusted income that’s designed to last throughout retirement.

The Perennial Income Model was born in 2007 and now provides income to hundreds of retired families across the United States. In the 16 years since its birth, this methodology has been tested and refined, and we think it should be the default method for generating income from almost all retirees.

A Brief History of the Perennial Income Model™

So if you’re new to our webinars and have not had a chance to pick up your book, pick up our book Plan on Living. I want to direct you to our website when this webinar is over to get your complimentary copy. Therein you’ll find a more detailed description of the Perennial Income Model.

But for now, let me just give you a short history how the PIM came to be, which will in turn help you to understand how it works. Then we’ll demonstrate how the, excuse me, I keep using the word PIM, the Perennial Income Model helps us to protect our clients.

Okay, so I’ll give you a short history how this all happened. So prior to 2007, I was really frustrated with the whole investment process. I was managing money for a lot of retired families and they all depended upon me, and I recognized that the investment process was broken, this didn’t work.

So prior to 2007, I felt like I was expected to do the research and follow the right economists of which there’s thousands. Then accurately guess the future and invest my clients into the best investments and get them out of the markets at the right time.

Well, that’s a pretty impossible task. So after all, how do you successfully guess and invest in the future when unforeseen events such as pandemics and terrorist incidents get in the way?

Well, the simple answer is that you don’t. Investing by attempting to guess the future didn’t work out well in 2007 and I could tell you it doesn’t work out very well into 2023 either.

So I understood back then that the retiree had to have safe money to draw income from when the stock market dropped. But they also needed to be invested in stock-related investments, or in other words in equities, if they were going to keep up with inflation.

So it was a delicate balance. How do you strike that balance without having a well thought out plan? And as I looked around in 2007, no plan existed.

About this time, I came across a paper from a Nobel Prize-winning economist, William Sharp. He’s a Stanford guy, and in his paper, he introduced the concept of time segmented investing to provide retirement income.

So what he suggested that when a person retires, the retiree’s investment funds should be divided into 30 separate accounts. Each of these 30 accounts would then be responsible for providing income for a one-year period of time, each one year of a projected 30-year retirement.

So there’d be an account dedicated to providing income in year number one of retirement, a separate account dedicated to providing income of year number two of retirement, so on until 30 years’ worth of retirement would be covered.

So the value of such an approach of investing, it was obvious to me, you know money set aside to provide income in the first year retirement needed to be invested much differently than the money that you won’t need for 30 years.

So in my opinion, his relatively simple and straightforward academic approach to investment management for retirees beat all the market timing and future guessing of the markets methods that were used by myself and other advisors at that time.

Okay, so the money set aside in an account to provide income during the first year of retirement had to be absolutely safe and absolutely stable. That’s where you’re getting your monthly check from right?

So this money and year number one of retirement can be subject to market fluctuations. Neither fighting inflation or getting a large investment return is a concern of account number one, simply because of the shortness of its duration.

Safety and stability are paramount. First-year money should be held in ultra-conservative investments that are not subject to a lot of market volatility.

Now on the other end of the spectrum is the money that is designed to provide income during the 30th year of retirement. The objective of this account is to keep up with the erosion of purchasing due to the power due to inflation.

So the dollars within this account would have to be invested in inflation-fighting equities. Short-term volatility is expected but irrelevant in this account. This money won’t be needed for three decades. And speaking collectively, equities have never lost value and have always beaten inflation over time.

So the 30 separate accounts would be therefore started and being very conservatively invested and then they would get progressively more aggressive as the need for income from these accounts is pushed out over 20 and 30 years.

So by following this program of investing, the retiree’s short-term risk of markets volatility is dissolved and the long-term threat of inflation is managed.

Now as much as I like Dr. Sharp’s concept in theory, it wasn’t practical to implement. I certainly don’t want to create and manage 30 separate accounts for each of my clients. And my clients certainly didn’t want to have the mailman bring 30 separate statements in the mail as they watch their 30 separate accounts either.

So the hassle and the expense of this endeavor rendered this academically solid idea of time-segmenting retirement funds nearly impossible.

Okay, so not long after reading Sharp’s paper, I visited one of those Christmas tree farms where you cut down your own tree. Now at the tree farm, I walked by the saplings, I was with my children at the time, walked by the saplings, then the two-foot-tall trees and the various progressively larger pine trees until I arrived at the group of trees that had been prepared for people to harvest that year.

The smaller pine trees and their various stages of growth were there to provide future income for the Christmas tree farm. The Christmas tree farm had planned years in advance for his future income needs, and I thought at that time that the process of segmenting today’s investments to match future income needs is very similar to how this Christmas tree farm operates.

The farm had implemented a time-segmented approach of its own. And I remember thinking that day if the Christmas tree farm can figure this out, I should be able to do the same. There must be a way to transform the concept of time segmenting into a practical model of investment management.

So we went to work. And as I thought about this, I realized that all I really needed to do is to adjust the length of time for each account. If I change the time each account had to provide income, or from one year to five years.

So you see managing six accounts that provided income for a five-year segment of time versus the original one-year time frame was workable and followed the original objective that Sharp expressed.

So I therefore ended up with the accounts that covered the first five years of retirement. And a second account that covered years six through 10, and a third account that covered years 11 through 15, and so forth until we built this out over 30 years.

We call these five-year periods in our office, we call them segments. So once all the wrinkles of transitioning and academic idea into a workable methodology were ironed out, we launched our trademarked version of time segmentation, which we call the Perennial Income Model, or the PIM as I’ve been referring to.

So, let me share with you the Perennial Income Model again. This will be new to some of you but this is nice to go through it very quickly. And again, get our book, it will get into more details.

So here’s how it works out. You see that in the top right-hand corner, we’re starting with a million dollars. And in the bottom right hand, you see where the objective is to end with a million dollars, okay.

Retirement Income Planning: chart showing different retirement "buckets."

Also, this is just a 25-year period of time that we’re dealing with this for the sake of time and space, but anyway. So we’re going to divide the investment, the million-dollar investment portfolio into five different segments.

Each segment again is responsible for creating a five-year period of retirement. So segment one again, the first five years, segment two years six through 10, and so forth. Then we have a sixth segment that we call our Legacy segment.

The job of the Legacy segment is to basically start with, in this case, $136,000 as you see in that second to the, anyway on the right-hand side, not the second to the farthest right, that’s the Legacy segment.

Starting with $136,000 the objective through the miracle of compound interest is to have that grow to the original million dollars that we started with. Okay, so this is how it works.

I want you to notice a couple things though. Number one, we had to assume some kind of an interest rate. And you see we’re assuming very conservative interest rates.

Can you do better? I would hope so, we certainly do. But what good would be realized by using inflated numbers? You would only deceive yourself into taking higher income, but in the end, you’ll probably be disappointed.

So history tells us that these assumptions are very attainable. So if you disagree you can always choose more conservative assumptions in your own plan. But the idea is we want to underpromise and overperform.

And if you take a look at that, you know segment one, we’re showing a 1% interest rate. Well, we can get 4% in CDs right now. So obviously we can do better there. But I guess that the point I just want to make you understand is that we’re using very conservative assumptions.

Because we’re the only people that do this it’s not like I’m competing with the guy down the street, because I’m not, okay. So we just assume very conservative assumptions.

So number two, inflation-adjusted income stream. I want you to notice how this thing is built. Every five years you get a raise, okay, so an attempt to keep you up with inflation.

How Segments Maintain Portfolio Stability

Okay, the total value column. You would think again that you’re in segment one, again we’re going to spend all of segment one which provides that income of $3,774. Okay, but that segment’s gone after five years.

Then you think segment two, we move on to that, where we start with $220,000. We’re going to have that grow just $256,000 and then we spend all of that in the second five-year period of time.

So you would think that the account value is going down, but in reality, as you can see, the account value, the total account value stays pretty stable because as we’re spending segment one and spending segment two, the other segments are growing for you.

And then its total distributions. Look at your total inflation-adjusted distribution during the 35 years. Okay, you see during the 20, yeah 30 years, I should say 25 years, excuse me.

You see you have $1,563,000 that has been distributed, and you still have the million dollars that you started with. That’s the objective.

Now people are going to ask, well can I pull more money out of this model? Well yes, certainly you would just leave less in the Legacy bucket.

So let’s transition over to the, let’s clean this up a little bit. I just want to tell you that when I teach education week every year, and when I show this slide at education week, this is when all the phones come out and the cameras come out, and they start taking pictures.

Retirement Income Planning - spreadsheet

And I feel like sometimes, they think that well, here’s a secret formula all I have to do is get this and I could create this on my own spreadsheet at home.

Okay, I got that, but I want to warn you of something, that there is more to this than the spreadsheet. As I show you this, I feel somewhat like the negligent adult that hands the keys to a new sports car to a 16-year-old boy and says here, here it is, this is all you need.

So I just want to warn you even though you may be very adept at creating spreadsheets or you’re able to put together a plan following the pattern exactly that I’ve provided, please don’t think that you’re done. I would say quite to the contrary, you’ve just begun.

You see a time-segmented distribution plan takes a couple of hours maybe to create and it takes 30 years of discipline to successfully implement.

Those who create a spreadsheet invest and then forget about their investments or abandon the plan will not have a successful outcome. Okay, when investor discipline fails the plan will fail.

Role of Harvesting in Investment Success

So the essential step of harvesting a time-segmented program is really where the rubber meets the road, not in the creation of the spreadsheet. So I feel obligated to kind of explain what harvesting is about.

Simply stated, the process of harvesting in financial terms is when we transfer riskier more volatile investments into a conservative and less volatile portfolio once the target or the goal of each segment is reached.

Okay, so this is a very goal-based program. And once you understand that when we hit our target amounts, that’s those numbers in green, every segment has a responsibility of providing income. So we let the money grow within the segment whenever we hit those target amounts. At that point in time, we want to take risk off the table and change the more aggressive investments into more conservative investments. We reduce risk.

Harvesting adds order and discipline to the investment process which results in better investment returns. Less risk and less selling based upon emotions. Without harvesting, the time segmentation model becomes more aggressively invested as a retiree ages and gets into the latter segments of the plan.

So having 80 and 90 year old’s, with their money all invested in long-term aggressive equities does not make any sense at all. Unfortunately, that’s not how the program works. If the time-segmented plan is properly monitored and harvested the process of monitoring and harvesting are imperative to the success of this time-segmented distribution plan.

I want you to think with me for a second when we talk about harvesting what’s happened over the last 10 years. You know, we’ve been busy harvesting our client’s segments as they reach their goal over the last 10 years because the markets have been very, very kind to us.

And I can tell you now that our clients are very happy that we’ve been harvesting along the way. We basically took the money out of the more risky things into less aggressive less risky things as we met our goals.

Okay, and then one last thing before I turn it over to the other guys here. Now that you understand the basics of the PIM, I want to show you a real-life example.

Okay, this version shows an actual model that we constructed for one of our clients about a year ago. It incorporates the client’s Social Security income and pension into the mix.

So this is by the way a 30-year retirement versus the 25 I was showing you before. But we allow the program to solve or maximize the way to get the most amount of income they possibly can, incorporating against Social Security, pensions, and so forth.

But I will tell you this, the Perennial Income Model truly has withstood the test of time. It’s goal based, it provides a framework for investing, a framework for distributing the right amount of money from the right accounts. It provides a framework to manage risk and as you’ll soon see it provides an excellent tool to assist us in organizing and implementing tax-saving strategies.

Now in 2007, the initial goal of the Perennial Income Model was to provide a logical format for investing in generating inflation-adjusted income from your investments throughout retirement.

As I just demonstrated, we accomplished this goal by projecting a retiree’s income over multiple decades. And in the beginning, we did not fully anticipate all the accompanying benefits that would result from projecting the right retiree’s income over such a long time frame.

There are unique planning opportunities that have manifested themselves and our eyes have been opened to a number of benefits that we could not have foreseen before creating and using the Perennial Income Model.

As we have projected income streams for our clients throughout their respective retirements, we have found that the Perennial Income Model satisfies many roles for our retirees that few systems or investment programs provide.

We want to share with you some of the advantages that we have seen and some of the ways that actually the Perennial Income Model helps to protect our clients.

And so anyway, let me turn the time over to Carson.

Provides a Retirement Framework to Follow (24:46)

Carson Johnson: Thank you Scott, let me just share my screen again.

All right, thank you Scott. So yeah, to support what Scott said, the Perennial Income Model does serve as a protection in many ways and helps provide a framework for our clients to follow.

And so the four points that I want to make here really quickly is to show the four different ways the Perennial Income model serves as a guide for our clients.

First, it helps our clients know the right amount of money that should be distributed from their investments. As it comes to a retirement plan, it’s not just the income that comes from investments that’s part of a retirement plan.

As Scott mentioned there’s Social Security, there’s pensions, there’s rental income, that’s part of this and so it’s just figuring out what is the right amount that should come from the investment portion that you’ve built up and saved over the years.

Second, it provides a guide in maximizing your tax-efficient stream of income. It’s a really important part as part of the retirement plan.

Third, it’s coordinating your Social Security benefits as well as your spousal Social Security benefits.

And then lastly, it’s managing inflation and volatility risk. Now we’re going to stay high level on a lot of these different points because there could be a webinar on every single one of these guides, but we’ll want to go into some of the main points as it pertains to these four ways that it serves as a guide.

So the first thing is that the Perennial Income Model offers flexibility. Now one of the most important considerations an advisor should be advising their clients on is to determine whether clients have sufficient funds to make major purchases or sustain a lifestyle.

Now I can’t go into all the details on how that is done perfectly because everybody’s lifestyle is different, and we know that life happens. And retirees don’t always follow a 30-year plan exactly.

Every scenario is different and whether you need to take a large lump sum distribution from your retirement plan, or have irregular income, or if you’re wanting to have more income in the earlier years of your retirement.

Whatever the situation may be, the Perennial Income Model helps map out how each scenario will impact your income. If you don’t have a plan, then you’re simply guessing and helping that it works out.

The second point is to maximize tax efficiency. So seeing your income presented through the Perennial Income Model allows us to tax by not for year one of retirement, but years one through 30, or one through 25, however long your retirement plan is with the goal of minimizing taxes throughout your retirement.

So the first couple of steps that we do in order to create this retirement plan is first, is to maximize income. And how we do that is about knowing how much money you can pull from your accounts and how that will impact your income.

The second step is to know what accounts to pull this money from to minimize taxes. Jeff will actually be talking in a little bit more detail about this later in the webinar to specifically answer the questions: how much we can pull from our accounts and what accounts to pull from when drafting and creating your retirement plan?

The next thing, I’d like to make this analogy, is related to a junk drawer. And I don’t know if any of you relate to this, but in my house, there is a drawer in my home that we refer to as the junk drawer which contains all sorts of different things in there.

It contains scissors, it has batteries, it has rulers, pens, pencils, etc. And it’s the place that you go to find really any random object, but it’s unorganized.

And oftentimes when clients come to us for help, they come to us with a junk drawer full of investments. Now, I don’t say that in a way that is mean, saying that their investment accounts or investments are bad in any way, but just simply that they come to us with an unorganized drawer of investments.

And sometimes just a little bit of help and organizing those investment accounts can make a big difference as it pertains to taxes. The Perennial Income Model positions a retiree’s plan in a way to organize their tax-deferred, tax-free, and non-retirement investment portfolios into a single tax-efficient stream of income that is designed to minimize taxes.

The creation of every individualized Perennial Income Model will be different because every person’s situation is different. But it’s the way we organize that Perennial Income Model that fits into each client’s situation that matters.

And as I mentioned before, Jeff will run through some examples with you later in the webinar about how to do this from a tax perspective.

Lastly, the Perennial Income Model serves as a guide for our Social Security claiming decisions. Social Security is one of the few sources of income that adjusts for inflation and is typically a major portion of a retiree’s income.

For these reasons, your decision to claim Social Security is so important and how it coordinates with not just your benefit, but also if you have a spouse, their benefit as well.

So many may be wondering, how do I maximize Social Security? Should I postpone my benefits until age 70? How do I coordinate my benefit with my spouse?

Generally, to start off with whether you claim earlier or later, the breakeven point, or at the point which those two points claiming earlier later collide is in your early 80s.

But there’s one lesson that is far more important when it comes to Social Security, which is it’s not just about maximizing Social Security, but it’s about maximizing your total retirement income.

So a few questions here to think about as we go through this webinar today. What income will you live off between claiming and taking your Social Security? Is it worth liquidating a part of your 401k or IRA accounts to maximize Social Security? Is there a difference in age between you and your spouse and how does your spouse’s benefit coordinate with your own?

As I mentioned before, every situation in case is different. But the Perennial Income Model allows us to focus on total income, not maximizing Social Security.

Also, just a little note similar to the timing of Social Security, those with a pension can determine if they have an option to take a lump sum rather than a monthly pension benefit, is also an important consideration, and figuring out how that impacts your total income.

Also, pension options that have survivorship options, meaning if something were to happen to you, that pension, how that continues on to a spouse also plays a role in your total income throughout retirement.

And so those are four ways that are guides that the Perennial Income Model serves for our clients.

And now I’ll turn the time over here to Josh to talk about the next benefit.

Acts as a Behavior Modifier (32:50)

Josh Glenn: Awesome, thanks Carson.

Well, I’ll tell you what. I’m excited to talk about how the Perennial Income Model is a behavior modifier.

One of the biggest reasons that I decided to come and work at Peterson Wealth Advisors was because of the way the Perennial Income Model helps our clients to be at ease and make smart investment decisions.

To start, I want to say something that may catch you off guard, and it’s this. In theory, investing is easy. You buy something at one price, when it goes up in value you sell it. You buy low and you sell high.

Now I know what you’re thinking, and you may be thinking something that my wife thinks a lot, Josh you’re wrong. But there are a few things that you can do to be a successful investor.

One of the most important things you can do is to match your short-term money needs with short-term less aggressive investments. And your long-term money needs with long-term more aggressive investments.

If you can do that, you can be a very successful investor. So if it’s so easy, why don’t we all just have money oozing out our ears? And that’s because actually implementing this type of strategy can be more difficult.

Here are a few common reasons it can be difficult. Misinformation, distractions, and perhaps the biggest one, our own emotions.

Our emotions can cause us to get in our own way and make bad investment decisions. As humans, we actually naturally tend to be bad investors.

In general, we’re short-sighted, prone to panic, and we have more biases than we’re often aware of.

One of the biggest biases we have is loss aversion. Studies show that the fear of losing is a much more powerful emotion within us than the satisfaction of gaining. And everyone’s probably experienced this.

So in other words, we’re going to feel almost twice as much pain when we lose a hundred dollars, then the joy we’re going to feel when we make a hundred dollars, or if we won a hundred dollars, kind of interesting.

And this bias predisposes all of us to be bad investors. One bad experience in the stock market which may be self-inflicted, maybe we caused that, maybe we made a bad decision, can cause someone to shun the explosive growth of the stock market over a lifetime.

There are millions of people who have missed out on the unbelievable market gains because of fear of seeing their accounts experience a temporary loss.

On the flip side, when investors recognize the reason they own a specific investment, when they understand how the investment fits into their overall financial plan, and when they understand when the specific investment will be needed to provide future income, investors can become quite rational.

When the crash of 2008 to 2009 occurred, about half of our clients were in the Perennial Income Model, and half weren’t. The investors who had date-specific, dollar-specific structure that the Perennial Income Model provided, they made better decisions than those who didn’t.

They didn’t panic, they knew that they were holding, they knew why they were holding the volatile investments that went down. And they also knew that they had the money they needed. They also knew the money they needed in the short term was invested in more stable less risky investments.

The therapeutic organization of the Perennial Income Model is extremely important. The decision not to sell during a future market decline may end up being the most important investment decision you will ever make. And the Perennial Income Model makes that decision easier.

Let me show you specifically how the Perennial Income Model can modify behavior.

We know that getting the needed return while taking on the least amount of risk possible is a pillar to successful investing.

The two main types of risk that retirees face are volatility in the stock market and inflation. Volatility refers to the constant up and downshifts in the market. Inflation is the rising costs of goods and services which erodes your purchasing power.

If we assume a 3% inflation rate every year, a dollar’s worth of purchasing power today will only be worth 41 cents worth of goods or services 30 years from now. Kind of scary to think about.

These two risks are very prevalent to every retiree, but the Perennial Income Model helps solve both these risks. Let me show you how.

Using this example, we address volatility with the first two segments of the model by investing conservatively in short-term safer investments.

Retirement Income Planning - spreadsheet demonstrating how the Perennial Income Model accounts for market volatility and inflation.

We understand that your short-term money can’t be going up and down with the daily fluctuations in the market.

If you had all your money invested in stocks when you are drawing income, it would be horrifying to be forced to sell your positions at extreme discounts because you need money for living expenses.

You can see here in segments 1 and 2, we are only assuming a 1% and 3% growth rate as this is your conservative money. When the market is down, the world tells you to sell your holdings and salvage your portfolio.

The Perennial Income Model tells you to hold your positions and wait out the market as your income needs are protected.

We address inflation, the other major concern for retirees with the latter segment of the model. You can see we are assuming much higher growth rates for these volatile equities, and that’s because they’re traditionally higher-yielding investments, and they can be inflation.

This is the only way to maintain your purchasing power over a 30-year retirement. While your loss of version bias may tell you to avoid investing in stock, the Perennial Income Model and history tell us that we need to invest in equities to beat inflation.

Now I’m going to turn the time over to our next presenter.

Serves as a Guardian (40:15)

Austin Lee: Thank you Josh, I really appreciate that. I’m excited to be here as well today to explain how the Perennial Income Model protects us and serves as a guardian as we move forward in retirement.

First, the Perennial Income Model serves as a guardian in a way to protect us from our older selves. Studies show, and from experience, we understand that as we age our cognitive abilities decline which significantly impacts our ability to make financial decisions.

Even though you may have gone through and endured many bear markets in the past and not allowed yourself to panic or give in to the pundits of the day, you’ve been able to stay away from making rational decisions, but that doesn’t mean you’d be able to do the same as you age if you’re not following a plan.

We’ve repeatedly seen cognitively sharp newly retired 65-year old’s morph into less confident slower to comprehend 80- and 90-year-olds. Sooner or later, it will happen to all of us in one degree or another unfortunately.

But it’s a valuable benefit to create a plan and understand that plan while you’re younger and you are mentally at the top of your game.

An even greater advantage to the Perennial Income Model is the knowledge that you’ll have a plan that will stick with you throughout the balance of your life as your cognitive abilities erode.

The next thing that’s important to understand is that the Perennial Income Model serves as a guardian when our loved ones pass away.

If you are a steward over your finances, the one in charge who takes care of the family, it is critically important that you answer the question:

How will my spouse make prudent financial decisions when I slip away from this life?

The Perennial Income Model can answer that.

It’s a cruel reality that when a surviving spouse inherits the money that they have important and critical financial decisions to make shortly thereafter. And it’s difficult because they have situational depression and it’s very difficult to get through every day.

An experience tells us that there’s more fraud that happens shortly after the passing away of a spouse than any other group. This makes them very vulnerable and susceptible to these kinds of things.

We know of families where they’ve bought a new motor home for $100,000 and shortly after the passing away of a spouse the surviving spouse has sold it for $19,000 dollars.

We hear of other stories where homes and cabins are sold for hundreds of thousands of dollars less than their actual value because the surviving spouse has panicked and is not sure if they’ll have the money to take care of their needs and continue living their life as they had before.

But when a loved one passes away there’s definitely a document or two that needs to be signed to transfer the accounts over into their name.

But the benefit of the Perennial Income Model is that the surviving spouse will follow the same plan that the couple’s followed for years.

Nothing changes and they’ll continue to receive the income inflation adjusted for the remainder of their life.

This again is a screen print of a Perennial Income Model, and one of the lessons that we’ve learned that’s most important during these vulnerable times is to have a plan. It is so vital to put something in place now to protect ourselves from our future selves and to make sure that our loved ones will be taken care of when we pass away.

Perennial (retirement) Income Model

What a blessing it is to know that as we cognitively decline, we’ll be taken care of and will have an income plan in place.

From our experience, it’s amazing and it’s interesting to sit down face-to-face with individuals and clients to implement this. You know as markets go up and down, as life circumstances change, a properly implemented and executed Perennial Income Model provides tremendous reassurance and indescribable peace of mind that our clients have a plan.

In any change of events or major events that happen in your life, you can rest assured that the Perennial Income Model can provide an inflation-adjusted income plan throughout retirement in the remainder of your life.

I’ll now pass the time over to Daniel who will continue to explain some of the benefits of the Perennial Income Model.

Bad Luck Insurance Policy (45:18)

Daniel Ruske: Great, thank you Austin. I’ll be talking about how the Perennial Income Model can be a bad luck insurance policy and how it protects the retiree from an episode of a bad sequence of return.

As we have already discussed, every stock market correction is temporary. However, that knowledge is only helpful if you are well positioned and able to select which investments to liquidate during a correction.

For example, let me tell you about Mike. Mike is 60 years old and has carefully planned for his anticipated retirement. He’s had a great career and saved a million dollars in his retirement accounts.

Mike understands that it’s important to invest some of his assets and equities to keep up with inflation, but also have a portion and bonds to predict him against being forced to sell stocks during the loss.

After doing a little research, Mike has decided to go with a 60/40 balanced mutual fund. What this means is Mike has his money in a fund that has 60% in stocks and 40% in bonds.

The day finally came and Mike’s retired. He started taking a monthly distribution from his mutual fund, and each month he simply sells a few shares of his mutual fund to support his monthly living.

Each one of these shares holds a portion of stock and portion of bonds. For the first few months, Mike is very pleased with his investment choice as the market was doing well. He was very comfortable liquidating a proportional amount of 60% stocks and 40% bonds for his needed monthly income.

Unfortunately, after just four months, his worst fears came to pass. The stock market dropped by 50%. Unlike during his working years, Mike couldn’t just wait for the stock market to recover, but he had to withdraw a portion of his money every month from his mutual fund just to pay the bills.

As Mike went through his monthly stipend, he realized that he was liquidating a proportional amount of stocks and bonds each month from his balanced mutual fund.

This meant that he was systematically selling stocks at a loss every month that the stock market remained down.

Now, Mike is not alone. This exact scenario happens and will continue to happen to millions of new retirees every time the stock market corrects itself.

It’s true when we are no longer contributing and we begin taking withdrawals from our accounts that the temporary up and down of the market can have a much bigger impact our investments than when we are working and had time to just wait out the market correction.

Now to be clear, Mike’s mistake was not in being too aggressively invested. A 60/40, or 60% stock 40% bond portfolio can be a very reasonable allocation for any retiree.

Mike’s mistake was failing to have a segmented income plan that allowed him to only liquidate the least impacted non-stop portion of his portfolio to provide his monthly needed income during the market downturn.

Now to further illustrate this point, I want to share with you another hypothetical example of two investors.

We have Mr. Green and Mr. Red, obviously green shirt, red shirt. They both retire, they’re the exact same age at 65. They both have saved up the exact same amount of a million dollars for retirement.

Comparison of returns with the Perennial Income Model used for Retirement Income Planning

They both planned to take out the exact same 5% of their initial balance each year, which is $50,000. And over from their retirement over the next 25 years, they’re both going to average the exact same investment return of 6%.

The only difference between the two investors, is that Mr. Green experiences high returns toward the beginning of his retirement and Mr. Red experiences the same high returns, but toward the end of the 25-year retirement.

Though both average the same 6% return per year doing retirement, Mr. Green ends up with more than 2.5 million dollars to pass on to his heirs at death while Mr. Red runs out of money halfway through his retirement.

Every aspect of the retirement experience is identical except for the one thing, the sequence or the order of the investment returns.

Mr. Green experiences the positive returns at the beginning of his retirement and the string of negative returns toward the end. Mr. Red experiences the same thing exactly in reverse as shown.

Again, both investors average 6% over a 25-year retirement, but the sequence of returns is the only difference and we can see by the table just how big a difference the order of returns make.

The good news is that it is possible to set ourselves up to be successful no matter what the markets happen to do year by year. The Perennial Income Model is a bad luck insurance policy that can protect you from the pitfalls that Mr. Red experienced.

Now, as Scott said, we’re not suggesting that the Perennial Income Model will make it so your account balances never go down or never suffer temporarily, that will happen.

What we’re saying is that by following the Perennial Income Model, you would not be in a position to have to sell stocks at a loss during the next market correction.

Mr. Red’s losses are realized as he liquidates equities in the down years at a loss to cover his expenses. If Mr. Red were to have his portfolio organized according to the Perennial Income Model, he would not be in a position, we would have to liquidate those stocks and those years to provide income.

He would have a buffer of conservative investments to draw income from while giving the more aggressive part of the portfolio a chance to rebound when the stock market temporarily experiences the periods of turbulence.

The Perennial Income Model’s design is intended to give immediate income from safe low volatile investments and at the same time furnishes you with long-term inflation fighting equities and your portfolio, equities that will not be called upon to provide income for years down the road.

As you may remember, market corrections typically last for months, not many years. So even if you are the unluckiest person on the planet and your retirement coincides with the market crash, your long-term retirement plans will not be derived as long as you’re following the investment guidelines found within the Perennial Income Model.

Well now I’ll let Jeff take it from here.

Identifies Tax-Saving Opportunities (52:06)

Jeff Lindsay: Thank you, Daniel.

The Perennial Income Model helps us protect our clients by helping us identify tax savings opportunities.

It was Morgan Stanley who said you must pay taxes, but there is no law that says you got to leave a tip.

Tipping’s an interesting thing right now. I feel like I have to tip as a go through the drive through the Sodalicious, but we do draw the line at the IRS.

So we believe it’s the responsibility of every investor and every investment advisor to do all in their power to legally pay the least amount of taxes possible. Because every dollar saved in taxes can be used for another purpose that is important to you.

Retirees face a different mix of taxes and tax concerns than the non-retirees. So here are a few things that we have to think about for our retirees.

Required Minimum Distributions, it’s kind of this ticking time bomb that happens that it’s something that we have to, we’re going to have to pay taxes on at some point, so managing that correctly.

The potential of converting too much pre-tax dollars into a Roth IRA can create additional tax liability that we didn’t really need to have.

There are penalties on the Required Minimum Distribution if you don’t take out your Required Minimum Distribution that you should.

The IRS, or excuse me, Congress changed the rules on us a little bit this last year and move that penalty all the way down to 25%, it’s still significant.

Higher potential for higher Medicare premiums depending on how you work your income situation. Higher capital gains taxes, capital gains taxes are intertwined with the rest of your income and you could jump into a higher racket there.

Paying extra taxes on Social Security income, the calculation for what is taxable of your Social Security is quite complicated and also intermixed with the other different parts of your income.

So the Perennial Income Model facilitates good tax planning. Scott Peterson says, “We have found that by using the Perennial Income Model to plan and project future income streams, we can easily identify and organize tax-savings opportunities.”

But how does that work? The Perennial Income Model helps us to organize our income and our assets in a way that you can kind of see the whole picture all at once. You can map out your income from year to year that will allow you to forecast and plan for future years today. And it also protects a legacy so we can decide whether we want to pass on tax-free or taxable income onto our heirs.

There are a few strategies here that we can go over and opportunities that we have for retirees in managing our tax brackets. So, if you know what the tax brackets are, and you have different opportunities to take income from one source or another you can manage those brackets over time.

Qualified Charitable Distributions, we’ve talked a lot about those over the past while and if you, I won’t go into all the details about the Qualified Charitable Distributions now, but it’s a good opportunity to make charitable contributions without paying taxes on those distributions you make from your IRA.

Roth conversions are a great strategy if done at the right time and in the right situation. In some situations, Roth conversions make all the sense in the world and in other situations, it doesn’t make as much sense or getting too aggressive which Roth conversions can be a problem.

Managing Medicare premiums, this is definitely one that a lot of people, you haven’t really heard of it, and it could come back to bite you. Medicare premiums show up when you take too much income in any given year. But you don’t see the result of that until two years later.

So you start down on this what you think is a great strategy and then two years later all the sudden you have this jump in your Medicare’s premiums that you weren’t expecting.

And then the potential for tax-free Social Security income. If you manage your overall tax situation properly and your situation is just right, you can actually have a tax-free Social Security income there.

Let me go through if I could, just an overall situation. This is the same income model that we’ve been looking at throughout the presentation. But what I wanted to do is just show there’s several different opportunities that we have from a tax perspective looking at this.

Spreadsheet outlining the various opportunities for tax savings using the Perennial Income Model for Retirement Income Planning

This is a person who has $700,000 in non-IRA kind of investments and $800,000 in IRA investments. So you can see on the left side there, the overall income, the other income is low.

So this retiree, age starts at age 64, and you could make Roth IRA conversions for a few years. And if you’re even younger than 64 you may be able to make those Roth conversions a little bit higher before Medicare comes into play a 65.

So kind of timing that out in the right way, that opportunity you can see on the right side, the Legacy, we’re moving that money. It starts out as an IRA and then it can turn into a Roth IRA over time paying some taxes upfront.

Meanwhile, we’re taking out income from the non-IRA account for those first few years and not having to pay tax on both the Roth conversion and the IRA distributions as you go along.

The middle section shows Required Minimum Distributions. So if you manage the Roth conversion properly, you also have some IRA money left. If you haven’t converted your entire IRA, you have some of that IRA left to be able to make Roth, excuse me, to be able to make Required Minimum Distributions and use those Required Minimum Distributions to pay charitable contributions that you already were going to make anyway.

So these are just a few opportunities that we have and you can see being able to have the Perennial Income Model laid out in front of us gives us an opportunity to see all the different aspects of your life and we’re able to take that now and have a better tax result.

In any given year we’re not trying to save as much as we can in this year. It’s looking at an entire lifetime left that gives us an opportunity to say where should we pay taxes early on, later, in the middle somewhere, should we spread them out evenly. Should I take on some tax liability so that my children can then have an inheritance tax-free? Should I pass that on to them because their tax rates are actually lower will be lower than mine?

It’s kind of looking at all those different options and it gives us an opportunity to do that tax plan.

So in summary, the Perennial Income Model helps us to avoid the tax land mines that might come up and helps us look for special tax opportunities that we have really that are specific to retirees.

The Perennial Income Model in Review (1:00:09)

Scott Peterson: Hey Jeff, thank you. Thank all of you for your help. You know, I just want to tell you all of you that are listening today, and some of you are here listening from other states I understand. But our office is kind of situated between UVU and BYU.

And I think Utah Valley University has one of the best financial planning programs in the nation. And of course, you have BYU with a wealth of talent and great people there too.

So whenever we need new advisors, I have the opportunity to get on the phone and we call some of the professors and tell them that we want the best and the brightest, and anyway, that’s where these advisors that you’ve been listening to come from.

I think they’re the very best and I’m so pleased that they’re working with me in our company.

Hey Josh mentioned something earlier on, he said, you know back in 2007, the Perennial Income Model was born but it was, think with me, it was immediately tested in ’08 and ’09.

And what really kind of launched it I think is that time period because we recognized that, you know, and by the way, we’d only had about half of our clients we’d been able to convert over to the Perennial Income Model simply because of time.

And we noticed that those who had the Perennial Income Model did so much better than those that didn’t. And really, it’s because they had a plan to follow, they weren’t as anxious, they understood. So after 2008-2009, we decided that that’s the only way we’re going to manage money for our clients going forward.

So again, we’ve been through several corrections now, it works great, and we’ve been able to refine it and make it better as the years go on.

So in summary, we’ll be done with this in just a minute, I just want you to think with me that, the Perennial Income Model is goal specific. So it matches your current investments with your future income needs. You know what you own, you know why you own it, and you know when it will be needed for your future income.

It creates a framework for investing. Because you have a goal specific plan, you know specifically how you should be investing. You know exactly when you need to liquidate and when you need to turn your investments into income so you can invest with confidence.

We find that a plan is the antidote to panic. So a time-segmented plan aligned with the program to harvest gains reduces investment risk if the plan is followed. And I honestly don’t know how we would even go about determining how to invest a retiree’s money without having a plan like this.

The Perennial Income Model provides a framework for distributing. You will know how much you can and should be able to take out of your investments. But the plan not only helps with investment discipline, it also helps with distribution discipline.

It helps you to monitor your own behavior and allows you to spend with confidence.

The plan creates a framework to manage risk. You know your greatest short-term risk, again, is stock market volatility. Your greatest long-term risk is that of inflation.

So the time-segmented plan, the Perennial Income Model addresses both of these risks. So you’ll have less volatile investments to provide for immediate income needs and more aggressive higher earning investments to keep up with inflation over the long run.

And then the additional benefits that frankly we did not think of when we created the plan back in 2007, this works as Daniel talked about as a bad luck insurance policy

So some of you may be those people, or you know those people who have retired right before a financial crisis, right before a stock market crash. We found the Perennial Income Model is very helpful in helping you manage that, to navigate those dangerous waters.

But it also protects you from your older self, and it will leave your spouse with a plan to follow at death.

And Jeff just kind of stuck his toe in the water there when it comes to tax reduction strategies. There’s just so much that can be done so, much good that could be done from a planning perspective with the Perennial Income Model.

Anytime you map out your income over 30 years, you can easily identify things that could be done now to reduce your taxes today as well as, you know years, in advance.

So anyway, we wanted to introduce that to you and just remind you of the, I mean all these things combined together really help to protect our clients. And I think with it, protect our clients I think from maybe their biggest risk, themselves.

Okay, once you have a plan to follow and stick with it, you’ll do better than those that don’t. I just know that to be the case.

In 2007, we realized that we were giving something special when we kind of figured out the Perennial Income Model. And it has superseded every expectation and it has benefited now hundreds of retired families in ways that we could not have even imagined back then.

But it does all these things we talked about. It provides us framework for managing your finances throughout retirement. And anyway, I’m just thankful for it. I’m thankful for my advisors and for all of you that are clients.

And for those that aren’t clients, we’d love to introduce you in more depth to this. If you’re interested, please contact our office, get the book, and see if this makes sense to you.

Retirement Income Planning Question and Answer (1:05:51)

Daniel Ruske: So Scott, we have a couple questions, are we ready for that?

Scott Peterson: Yeah, let’s do that.

Daniel Ruske: I’d love to do a few questions. And I guess we’ll do probably five or so minutes and then there’s a survey. And so we promise we won’t take too long if you don’t mind hanging in there and giving us some feedback on the presenters and also on what you might want to hear next time.

And so I’ll start with the questions for Scott you and Jeff. And I thought they were really good ones.

So the first one I have here is, let me find it again. Okay, after the first five years is over does the investment on the remaining segments change? For example, would the second segment be invested as Segment 1 was, or a more conservative investment? Reed would like to know that answer.

Scott Peterson: Jeff you want to answer it, or should I?

Jeff Lindsay: Sure, so after the first five years, it’s not necessarily based on the time as much as the harvesting that Scott was kind of talking about. So what we’re working towards is reaching those goals.

If you think back to the spreadsheet that we had up, those yellow boxes. Those are the goals we’re shooting for and we find that we actually hit those goals when the market is, you know, kind of hitting all-time highs which only makes sense.

But that’s the time when a lot of people are getting greedy and it’s also the time when we say, okay, we’ve hit our goal now we’re ready to become more conservative there even though it feels like no, I want to stay in the market at this point.

That’s the time to go ahead and get more conservative. Not necessarily at three years or five years or ten years, it’s when we hit our goals.

Scott Peterson: Yes, so I think the answer, yeah, let me add to that thank you Jeff. The answer is, you know, we have the programs that are developed to help us monitor our progress in every single segment.

And so we’re getting more conservative as we reach our goals whenever we reach those goals. Okay, and so it’s not just at the five-year mark, but we’re monitoring that every day. And our clients have access to seeing the same thing as far as how the different segments are progressing. I hope that answers the question.

Daniel Ruske: We’ve got a couple more here. Craig wants to know, how do you guys make money?

Scott Peterson: Right, I’ll take that. So we charge just a flat management fee that’s agreed upon right up front. So, you know exactly how much we will withdraw out of your account.

And this is going to be depending on the amount of money that we manage. It’s going to be in the probably one to one and a quarter percent range. Okay, and so that’s how it works out. But I want to reassure everybody, and I think this is very important for you to ask questions if you’re looking for an advisor, to ask this question.

Do you earn a commission? And the answer with us is no. I don’t even allow people to have licenses to earn commissions in our office. We’re strictly fee-based and so there will be this one percent or so fee that we’ll take out on an annual basis to manage your portfolios.

And I might add with all the tax planning we do, all the investment management we do following the Perennial Income Model, if we’re not one percent by all means if we’re not worth that then you should take your money someplace else or do it yourself. But I think we rarely lose a client because once they’re on board, they see the value that we offer.

Daniel Ruske: I’m going to do one more here, and then if more come through, I’ll let you know. But this question is, how often does your company review clients’ portfolios, and how often does the client need to meet with you to review the portfolios?

Scott Peterson: So here Jeff, I’ll jump on that one too if you don’t mind. We have a formal quarterly investment committee meeting, so that’s what we formally do. So we’re taking a look at every single investment within all the different portfolios that we manage.

But I might add, you say how often do we look at the portfolios? Well, because all of our clients have relatively the same portfolios, maybe they have a different mix, you know one’s maybe heavier on the equity side than the other.

But the portfolios we manage, we just say, how often we look at them. Well, we look at them every day because everybody has the same portfolios. That’s easy for us if we see something that’s not right within the portfolio.

If we need to make an adjustment then we can make an adjustment across the board for all of our clients at the same time. So I think we have a very efficient system of managing portfolios.

Jeff Lindsay: And if I can also just add quickly, we meet with our clients as often as they need to meet with us. It’s at least a couple of times a year, but that’s when we’re sitting down and looking at more planning opportunities and your particular situation about what’s going on.

The investments are being managed across the board in the background all the time. Yeah, kind of you like said.

Daniel Ruske: Awesome, yeah, I think the other questions I’ve typed out. So if you didn’t get your question answered, if there’s one you didn’t want to send in front of everybody, please email us and that’s all Scott.

Scott Peterson: Great, well let me just conclude that if you’re an existing client and you’d like to review your Perennial Income Model, please reach out to your advisors, or call the office.

And again, if you’re if you’d like to know more, please get the book and please maybe reach out to us. We’d love to maybe show this, show you how this could work in your behalf.

So anyway, thank you so much everybody for joining us today, and we look forward to talking to you all soon.

15 Years of the Perennial Income Model: What Have We Learned?

Unlock the Benefits of Roth Conversions – Welcome to the Webinar (0:00)

Scott Peterson: Welcome, everybody. Let’s get this thing started. My name is Scott Peterson. I’m the managing partner of Peterson Wealth Advisors.

We appreciate the time you’re willing to spend with us today. I know we have a mix of existing clients familiar with our processes and a group of non-clients wondering what this presentation is all about. I promise that both groups—both non-clients and existing clients—will benefit from this presentation.

Clients will be reminded how their money is invested and how their income is being created to support them during their retirement. Our non-clients will be introduced to a unique, proprietary retirement income plan that will change the way you look at retirement, a plan that could significantly enhance your retirement experience.

The big reason we’re presenting this webinar topic today is because I recently released the revised edition of my book “Plan on Living,” which outlines the Perennial Income Model™, our process. It also discusses what we’ve learned over the last 15 years since its implementation. I have a whole chapter dedicated to our lessons learned and another chapter on some of the tax savings opportunities we’ve discovered using the Perennial Income Model.

Here’s a bit of background. In 2007, we created a process to provide a stream of inflation-adjusted cash flow to our retired clients, which we named the Perennial Income Model. This year, the Perennial Income Model is turning 15 years old. We now have more than 500 retired households depending on this model for their retirement income.

We’ve experienced a lot over the last 15 years, including stock market ups and downs and two bear markets, so we’ve learned many things. The question is, how has the Perennial Income Model performed? What have we learned since creating and adopting this methodology back in 2007? We intend to answer these questions for you today. But first, let me take a couple of minutes to remind you or maybe introduce you to what the Perennial Income Model is and how it works.

I think the best way to understand the Perennial Income Model is to take you back to 2007 and explain how it was created. Back in 2007, this was me before I involuntarily joined the Shrek lookalike contest. I was a lot younger back then.

Anyway, it was a frustrating time for me, to say the least. Those of you who were with me back then remember what was going on in 2007. We had just come off the dot-com bubble bursting in 2000, started to gain some traction, and then 9/11 happened. Those years were tough.

I was frustrated with the investment process because I was managing money for many retirees. I recognized that the investment process was broken. It just didn’t work. Prior to 2007, I felt like I was expected to do the research, follow the right economists, accurately guess the future, and invest my clients’ money in the best investments, getting them in and out of the stock market at the right time. It was an impossible task, and it remains impossible today.

How do you successfully guess and invest in the future when unforeseen events like terrorist incidents and pandemics get in the way? The simple answer is that you don’t. Investing by attempting to guess the future didn’t work in 2007, and it still doesn’t work in 2022.

I understood in 2007, and it is still true today, that retirees need safe money to draw income from when the stock market drops. They also need to be invested in stock-related investments or equities to keep up with inflation. There’s a delicate balance to strike, and how do you possibly strike that balance without having a plan?

I recognized in 2007 that most retirees were going through retirement without any formal plan for creating and maintaining their retirement income. Working without a plan is dangerous. Fear and greed become the greatest influences in our investing, and emotionally driven investment decisions never produce good outcomes.

In 2007, and still today, there were and are many rule-of-thumb guidelines thrown about, but I didn’t find any specific plan to help retirees know how to invest, how much they could and should distribute from their IRAs and 401(k)s, or a plan to minimize both risks and taxes in their situation. I was looking for a plan to match retirees’ current investments with their future income needs, but no such plan existed.

During this frustrating time, I did a lot of research and came across a paper written by Nobel Prize-winning economist William Sharpe, a Stanford guy. I found his paper particularly compelling. In his paper, he introduced the concept of time-segmented investing to provide retirement income. He suggested that when a person retires, their investment funds should be divided into 30 separate investment accounts, with each account responsible for providing income for one year of a projected 30-year retirement. There would be an account for the first year of retirement, a second account for the second year, and so on until the plan is built out over 30 years.

Okay, so the value of such an approach to investing was obvious to me because the money set aside to provide income in the first year of retirement needs to be invested much differently than the money you won’t need for 30 years. In my opinion, at the time, I thought his relatively simple and straightforward academic approach to investment management for retirees beat all the market timing and future-guessing methods used by the investment industry.

To help you understand this a little better, the money set aside in the account to provide income during the first year of retirement has to be absolutely safe and stable. It can’t be invested in the stock market, as it would be subject to significant market fluctuations. Neither fighting inflation nor getting a large investment return is a concern with account number one because of its short duration. So, safety and stability are paramount. First-year money should be held in ultra-conservative investments and should not be subject to much volatility.

On the other end of the spectrum is the money designated to provide income during the 30th year of retirement. The objective of this account is to keep up with the erosion of purchasing power due to inflation. Dollars within this account will have to be invested in inflation-fighting equities. Short-term volatility is expected but irrelevant in this account because the money won’t be needed for three decades. Collectively, equities have never lost value and have always beaten inflation over time.

The 30 separate accounts would start as very conservatively invested and then progressively become more aggressive as the need for income from these accounts is pushed out over 20 and 30 years. By following this program of investing, the retiree’s short-term risk of market volatility is dissolved, and the long-term threat of inflation is managed.

As much as I liked Dr. Sharpe’s concept in theory, it wasn’t practical to implement. I didn’t want to create and manage 30 separate accounts for each of my retirees, and certainly, my retired clients didn’t want to monitor 30 separate accounts either. The hassle and expense of this endeavor rendered the academically solid idea of time-segmenting retirement funds nearly impossible.

Not long after reading Dr. Sharpe’s paper, I visited a Christmas tree farm where you cut down your own tree. At the tree farm, I walked by the saplings, then the two-foot-tall trees, and then various progressively larger pine trees until I reached a group of trees prepared for harvest that year. The smaller pine trees in their various stages of growth were there to provide future income for the Christmas tree farm. The farm had planned years in advance for its future income needs.

That day, I thought that the process of segmenting today’s investments to match future income needs is very similar to how this Christmas tree farm operates. The farm had implemented a time-segmented approach of its own. I remember thinking, if the Christmas tree farm can figure out how to do this, I should be able to do the same. There must be a way of transforming the concept of time segmentation into a practical model of investment management.

As I thought more about this, I realized that I needed to adjust the length of time for each account. I changed the time each account had to provide income from a one-year period to five years. Managing six accounts that provided income for five-year segments versus the original one-year timeframe was workable and followed the original objective that Sharpe expressed.

I ended up with accounts that covered the first five years of retirement, a second account that covered the second five years of retirement, and so on until 30 years of retirement were covered with six manageable investment portfolios. In my office, we call these five-year periods segments. Once all the wrinkles of transitioning an academic idea into a workable methodology were ironed out, we launched our trademarked version of time segmentation, which we call the Perennial Income Model.

Let me share with you the Perennial Income Model and how it works. Here’s an example using a 25-year versus a 30-year plan for the sake of saving a little time today. We start with a million dollars and end with a million dollars in 25 years. That’s the goal of the plan.

We’re going to divide the million dollars that this person has into six different segments. Each segment is responsible for creating income for a five-year period of retirement. Segment one takes care of the first five years of retirement, segment two the second five years, and so on. We also have a legacy segment at the end. The responsibility of the legacy segment is to replace the money we started with. So we start with a million dollars, and the goal is to end with a million dollars in 25 years.

As you look at this, I want to point out a couple of things. First, we use very conservative assumptions.

As far as growth rates go, we’re the only people I know who invest like this or use this model. So, what advantage do we have to use unrealistic assumptions? All we would do is make our clients unhappy and make this whole program unrealistic. Therefore, we use very conservative assumptions.

Notice in segment one, we’re only showing a 1% growth rate, segment two, 3%, and so forth. Have we done better? Are we doing better? Absolutely. But again, what good will come from using aggressive growth rates here? So, we are very conservative. The idea is to underpromise and overperform, which, in fact, we have done.

The second thing I want to point out is in this model, we have a design where every five years, you get a raise to keep your money in line with inflation.

The third thing I want to point out is the total value column. When you look at segment one, we’re spending all of $220,979 to provide income for the first five years. We’re putting $220,000 of the original million dollars there, and it’s going to provide $3,774 per month in income for the five-year period.

We truly are spending all of that $220,979 to give you income for the first five years, so you would think the total value of the account would be going down. However, notice the total value column. While we’re spending segment one, segments two through your legacy segments are all growing and invested, so your total account value stays relatively flat, around a million dollars.

Next, look at the total distributions over 25 years. This client would take out $1,562,336 as income. The idea is to start with a million and end with a million dollars. So, the client would have $1,562,336 in income and still have the million dollars they started with.

Now, the question is, can we pull more income out of the model? Absolutely, we can. There’s no rule saying we have to end with a million dollars. Some people are very concerned about leaving a legacy, while others are not. We do like to leave some money there as an insurance policy because you don’t know what’s going to happen at the end of life. There could be nursing home expenses or other costs that could deplete your accounts, or you might live to be 105 years old. So, we want to leave some money as a safeguard. Any leftover money would go to your heirs or charity, as you see fit.

Now, let me talk to you about harvesting. It’s funny when I show this screen at Education Week, that’s when all the cameras come out. I’m sure there have been some screenshots today, and that’s okay. But I want to warn you that there’s much more to this than creating a spreadsheet. Sometimes I feel like the negligent adult who tosses the keys to a brand new sports car to a 16-year-old and says, “Here you go, this is all you need.”

Even though you may be very adept at creating spreadsheets or able to put together a plan following this pattern exactly, please don’t think that you’re done. Quite the contrary, you’ve just begun. A time-segmented distribution plan takes a couple of hours to create, but it takes 30 years of discipline to successfully implement. Those who create spreadsheets, invest, and then forget about their investments or abandon the plan will not have a successful outcome. When investor discipline fails, the plan will fail.

The essential step of harvesting in a time-segmented program is where the rubber meets the road and makes this thing work. Harvesting, in financial terms, is simply transferring riskier, more volatile investments into a conservative and less volatile portfolio once the target or goal of each segment is reached.

The Perennial Income Model is very goal-based. For each segment, we change more aggressive investments into more conservative ones once we hit our target numbers. Harvesting adds order and discipline to the investment process, resulting in better investment returns, less risk, and less emotionally driven selling.

Without harvesting, the time-segmentation model becomes more aggressively invested as the retiree ages, which doesn’t make sense for 80 and 90-year-old retirees to have all their money in equities. Thankfully, because of harvesting, that doesn’t happen.

I will tell you, the processes of monitoring and harvesting at the right time are imperative to the success of a time-segmented model. We have developed computer programs to manage the 500 clients we have. We closely monitor and harvest every segment of each client’s portfolio to maintain order, reduce risk, and ensure the plan works.

On the screen here, I want to point out that this is an actual Perennial Income Model we put together for one of our clients very recently. We started with one and a half million dollars, and the idea is to end with one and a half million dollars in 30 years. We had to add that extra segment, but what makes this more real than the previous screen is that I included other income in this model. This other income includes this gentleman’s pensions, Social Security, and his spouse’s Social Security.

The Perennial Income Model spins off the income, and then we add the other income (Social Security, pensions, etc.) to come up with a total income column. This way, we can project what the future income for this client will be and solve for the total income. We add the other income, know the starting amount of money, and let the computer solve to maximize the total income for the client.

The Perennial Income Model truly has withstood the test of time. It’s a goal-based program that provides a framework for investing. Frankly, I wouldn’t know how to invest people’s money unless we had a method to match their current investment portfolio with their future income needs. The Perennial Income Model does that. It provides a framework for distributing the right amount of money throughout retirement. It helps us know how to manage risk and market volatility and how to take care of inflation.

As you will soon see, it is an excellent tool for organizing and implementing tax-saving strategies. The initial goal of the Perennial Income Model was to provide a logical format for investing and generating inflation-adjusted income from investments during retirement. We accomplished this goal by projecting a retiree’s income over multiple decades. Initially, we did not fully anticipate all the accompanying benefits that would result from projecting a retiree’s income over a long time period.

Unique planning opportunities have manifested themselves, and our eyes have been opened to several benefits we could not have foreseen before creating and using the Perennial Income Model. As we’ve projected income streams for our clients throughout their respective retirements, we have found that the Perennial Income Model satisfies many roles for retirees that few systems or investment programs can provide.

We want to share with you some of the advantages that we have seen our clients benefit from since implementing the Perennial Income Model back in 2007. So, let me turn some time over to Alex Call to go over some of these.

The Perennial Income Model is a Guide (22:17)

Alex Call: Thanks, Scott, for setting up everything. As we fast forward 15 years, we can see what some of these benefits are that Scott has been talking about. What we want to do here is, as Mark shows the slides, understand how the Perennial Income Model works as a guide and what we’ve learned from the past 15 years.

The Perennial Income Model will be a guide in four different areas. The first is distributing the right amount of money from your investments through time segmentation. Then we’ll touch on how withdrawing income from the proper accounts can maximize tax efficiency, and Mark will talk about this in more detail. The Perennial Income Model helps us determine when to start Social Security benefits, pensions, and other sources of income, and how they should fit into your overall plan. Lastly, Alek will discuss how the Perennial Income Model serves as a guide to managing inflation and volatility risk.

You can see that we will focus on tax efficiency, Social Security, managing inflation, and volatility. Mark, if you go to the next slide.

So Scott primarily talked about how the Perennial Income Model offers guidance in distributing the right amount of money from your investments. However, as we look at those different spreadsheets, I want you to know that the Perennial Income Model is not something set in stone. It offers flexibility.

One of the most important considerations an investment advisor should be advising their clients on is whether their clients have sufficient funds to make major purchases and sustain certain lifestyles. Having the Perennial Income Model helps us achieve that. For example, let’s say you are five or six years into the plan and you’re taking out that stream of income, but you need $30,000 to $50,000 for a new car, kitchen remodel, or roof repair. With this guide, we can determine where that lump sum should come from and how it will affect your income moving forward. We can weigh the pros and cons and see the consequences of taking out large lump sums of money.

Other examples include needing less income in the first few years of retirement but wanting more later, or wanting more income in the first 10 years of retirement for travel or other activities. The Perennial Income Model provides the flexibility to accommodate these situations. Every situation is different, so we don’t want to get too specific here, but just know that there is a lot of flexibility within the Perennial Income Model.

Next, I want to talk about how the Perennial Income Model helps us minimize taxes. The first step of the Perennial Income Model is to maximize income, but we have also noticed that it allows us to minimize taxes. Mark will talk more about this in depth. Essentially, the Perennial Income Model helps us determine how much we can pull from our accounts and which accounts we should pull from.

As we work with clients and prospects, we often see that they have a “junk store” of investments. It’s not that their investments are junk, but they are unorganized. They might have a couple of 401(k)s from old employers, a Roth IRA, a trust, or a joint account that isn’t a retirement account. The Perennial Income Model allows us to organize these accounts into a tax-efficient stream of income designed to minimize taxation throughout every stage of retirement. We look at it from a 30-year perspective, aiming to minimize taxes not just in year one of retirement but throughout the entire period.

Mark will dive deeper into the tax aspects, but the next portion I want to cover is how the Perennial Income Model serves as a guide to know when to claim Social Security. You might think the goal is just to maximize Social Security, but that’s not the case. If you want to maximize Social Security, you would postpone benefits until age 70, with the break-even point being your early eighties. However, the question is not just about maximizing Social Security but about maximizing total income in retirement.

For example, if you retire at 65 and take Social Security at 70, what money will you live on during those five years? Is it worth liquidating a large chunk of your 401(k) to maximize Social Security? Also, consider your spouse’s age difference and work history. When will they take their Social Security? These factors must be considered. The Perennial Income Model allows us to look at the big picture, not just one aspect of retirement.

The same principles apply to pensions or other mailbox money, such as rental properties. Should you continue with a rental property? When does it make sense to sell it? The Perennial Income Model helps us make these decisions by maximizing your total income in retirement.

Things like that really give us the guidance to know what to do in these instances. Now, Alek is going to talk a little more about that final area where the Perennial Income Model can be a guide.

The Perennial Income Model is a Behavior Modifier (30:55)

Alek Johnson: Perfect. Thanks, Alex. Today, I’m going to talk about how the Perennial Income Model is a behavior modifier. To start, I’m going to say something that may catch you off guard: in theory, investing is actually easy. Now, I know what you may be thinking—easier said than done, right? But when you think about it, all you need to do to be a successful investor is to match your short-term money needs with short-term investments and your long-term money needs with long-term investments. If you can do that, you can be a pretty successful investor.

So, what gets in the way? Because as we all know, actually implementing this type of strategy can be much more difficult. There are many reasons, including misinformation, distractions, and perhaps the biggest one—our own emotions. We often get in our own way, and our emotions cause us to be naturally horrible investors.

In general, we are shortsighted, prone to panic, and have more biases than we are often aware of. One of the biggest biases we have is loss aversion. Studies show that the fear of losing is a much more powerful emotion within us than the satisfaction of gaining. In other words, we feel almost twice the pain when we lose $100 than the joy we feel when we gain $100. This predisposes all of us to be bad investors. One bad experience in the market, which unfortunately is often self-inflicted, can cause a person to shun the explosive growth of equities over their lifetime. There are millions of people today who have missed out on unbelievable market gains because of the fear of seeing their accounts experience a temporary loss.

On the flip side, when investors recognize the reason for owning a specific investment, understand how that investment fits into their overall plan, and know when that specific investment will be needed to provide future income, investors can become quite rational. When the crash of ’08 and ’09 occurred, about half of our clients had transitioned to the Perennial Income Model, and half had not. The investors who had the date-specific, dollar-specific structure that the Perennial Income Model provided made better decisions than those who didn’t. They didn’t panic because they knew why they were holding onto those volatile equities. The therapeutic organization of the Perennial Income Model is extremely important because the decision not to sell during a future market decline may end up being the most important investment decision you will ever make.

Now, let me show you specifically how the Perennial Income Model can modify behavior. We know that getting the needed return while taking on the least amount of risk possible is the foundation of successful investing. The two main types of risks retirees face are volatility and inflation. Volatility refers to the constant ups and downs in the market, while inflation is the rising cost of goods and services, which erodes your purchasing power.

To give you an example of inflation, if we assume a 3% inflation rate, a dollar’s worth of purchasing power today will only purchase 41 cents worth of goods and services in 30 years. These two risks are very prevalent for every retiree, but the Perennial Income Model helps us solve and manage both of these risks.

Using our example, we address volatility within the first few segments of the model by investing very conservatively. We know that your short-term money can’t be subject to the daily fluctuations of the market. In a down market, if you had all your money invested in stocks when you are drawing your income, it would be horrifying to be forced to sell your positions at extreme discounts due to needing that money for living expenses. In segments one and two, we are only assuming a 1% and 3% growth rate as this is your conservative money. When the market is down, the world will tell you to sell all your holdings and salvage what you can from your portfolio. The Perennial Income Model, on the other hand, tells you to hold your positions and wait out the market as your income needs are protected.

We address inflation with the latter segments of the model. You can see here that we assume much higher growth rates as these volatile equities are traditionally higher-yielding investments that can beat inflation and maintain your purchasing power over a 30-year retirement. While your loss aversion bias will tell you to avoid investing in stocks now that you’re retired, the Perennial Income Model tells us that we need to invest in equities to beat inflation.

I’m now going to turn the time over to Carson to discuss how the Perennial Income Model serves as a guardian.

The Perennial Income Model Serves as a Guardian (36:00)

Carson Johnson: Thank you, Alek. I’m happy to be here and excited to share a couple of ways that the Perennial Income Model serves as a guardian for our clients and retirees.

Protects us From Future Selves

First, the Perennial Income Model can protect us from our older selves. Studies have shown, and in our experience, we have seen that as our mental capacity declines and our memory worsens, our financial decision-making abilities also decline.

Many of you have endured bear markets and haven’t allowed yourselves to panic or make rash investment decisions, but that doesn’t mean you’ll continue to do so. Cognitive ability decline in retirement is a very real challenge.

We’ve seen multiple times that a confident newly retired 65-year-old can morph over time into a less confident and slower-to-comprehend 80- or 90-year-old. Sooner or later, this happens to all of us to some degree or another, and it’s crucial to be prepared.

It’s also valuable to become familiar with and have your money managed within a well-defined and goal-specific structure, a retirement income plan, while you’re mentally on top of your game. Just like Alec mentioned, having a logical guidance system for those of us in retirement is important. An even greater advantage is the knowledge that you have a plan in place that you can stick with for the balance of your life, even if your cognitive abilities decline.

When a Loved One Passes Away

The second way the Perennial Income Model serves as a guardian is when a loved one has passed away. An important question I suggest all retired couples ask themselves is, if you’re the designated money authority in your household, who will support your surviving spouse in making important financial decisions once you slip away from this life?

It is a cruel reality that all widows and widowers have to make important decisions immediately after the passing of their loved one. New widows and widowers are often in shock, facing depression, and struggling to get through their day-to-day lives, let alone trying to manage their finances or the ups and downs of the market.

Experience tells me that there is more fraud committed against this group than any other group we’ve seen. For instance, we’ve seen situations where new widows have been approached by buyers to purchase, for example, a motor home worth $100,000 and ended up selling it for $19,000 because they were desperate for cash and worried about their future income needs. Likewise, we’ve heard of situations where houses and cabins were sold for hundreds of thousands of dollars less than their actual value.

We often hear that, because a loved one has passed away, survivors feel like their lives have turned upside down. By having a plan like the Perennial Income Model, it helps ensure safety and peace of mind, so their financial lives don’t have to be turned upside down as well.

Now, don’t get me wrong. When a loved one has passed away, there will certainly be changes. There will be documents that the surviving spouse will have to sign to move accounts from the decedent to the surviving spouse’s name. But overall, that surviving spouse follows the same Perennial Income Model that they had established many years prior. It provides that peace of mind for our clients.

One of the lessons we’ve learned over time is that we will all make important financial decisions during these vulnerable times. During these times, it’s vital to have a plan in place. As the markets go up and down and our life situations change, having a properly implemented and executed Perennial Income Model provides tremendous reassurance and peace of mind to our clients that their income is taken care of and that they have a plan in place.

I’ve realized when working with clients that it turns these major events into something manageable and that they have confidence in an inflation-adjusted stream of income that will last throughout their retirement. Now I’ll pass the time over to Daniel.

The Perennial Income Model can be a Bad Luck Insurance Policy (40:24)

Daniel Ruske: Awesome. Thank you, Carson. Very important. Perfect. In this portion, we will cover how the Perennial Income Model can be a bad luck insurance policy for retirees from an unfortunate sequence of returns. In other words, it can protect you if you are unlucky and happen to retire around the same time as a stock market crash.

As we have already discussed, every stock market correction is temporary, but that knowledge is only helpful if you are well-positioned and able to select which investments to liquidate during a stock market correction.

Let me give you an example about Mike. Mike is 60 years old and has carefully planned for his anticipated retirement. He’s had a very good career and saved over a million dollars in his retirement accounts. Mike also understands that it is important to have a portion of his money in equities to keep up with inflation, but also have a portion in bonds to protect him from volatility. After doing a little research, Mike has decided to go with a Vanguard 60/40 balanced mutual fund. What this means is Mike has his money in a single fund that has 60% stock and 40% bonds.

The day finally came, and Mike retired. He started taking a monthly distribution from his mutual fund. Each month, he simply sells a share of this mutual fund to support his monthly living. For the first few months, Mike is very pleased with his investment choice, as the market has done very well. He is very comfortable liquidating the proportional amount of 60% stocks and 40% bonds for his monthly needed income.

However, after just four months, his worst fears came to pass. The stock market dropped by 50%. Unlike during his working years, Mike could not just wait for the stock market to recover. He had to withdraw a portion of his money every month from his mutual fund just to pay the bills. As Mike withdrew his monthly stipend, he realized that he was liquidating a proportional amount of his stocks and bonds each month from his balanced mutual fund. This meant that he was systematically selling stocks at a loss every month that the stock market remained down.

Mike was frustrated and thought to himself that he was probably the most unlucky person on the planet. Unfortunately, Mike is not alone.

This exact scenario happens and will continue to happen to millions of new retirees every time there is a stock market correction. It is important to understand though that Mike’s mistake was not in being too aggressively invested. Because a 60% stock/40% bond portfolio may be a very reasonable allocation for a new retiree. Mike’s mistake was failing to have a time-segmented income plan, that allowed him to only liquidate the least impacted non-stock portion of his portfolio to provide his monthly needed income during the stock market downturn.

To further illustrate this point, I want to introduce to you Mr. Green in the green shirt and Mr. Red in the red shirt. Both of these investors have decided to retire at the same age of 65. They both saved up the exact same amount of one million dollars for retirement, and they both plan to withdraw 5% of their initial balance each year to have an annual income of $50,000. They have both averaged the exact same return of 6% per year over their 25-year retirement.

The only difference between these two investors is that Mr. Green experienced higher returns toward the beginning of his retirement, whereas Mr. Red experienced the same returns but at the end of his retirement. Although both averaged 6% per year, Mr. Green ends up with more than $2.5 million to pass on to his heirs, while Mr. Red runs out of money about halfway through his retirement. Every aspect of their retirement experience is identical except for one thing: the sequence or the order of the investment returns.

As you can see on the chart, Mr. Green gets the higher returns toward the beginning and the negative ones toward the end, whereas Mr. Red experiences the same returns only in reverse. You can see on the chart once again how big a difference this makes.

The good news is that it is possible to set ourselves up to be successful no matter what the market does year by year. The Perennial Income Model is a bad luck insurance policy that can protect you from the pitfalls that Mr. Red experienced. Now, I’m not suggesting that following the Perennial Income Model will guarantee that your account will never go down or that it will never suffer temporarily, because it will. What I am saying is that by following the Perennial Income Model, you should not find yourself having to sell stocks at a loss during the next stock market correction. Mr. Red’s losses are realized as he liquidates equities in a down year at a loss to cover his expenses. If Mr. Red were to have his portfolio organized according to the Perennial Income Model, he would not be in a position where he would have to liquidate these stocks in the down years to provide income. He would have a buffer of conservative investments to draw income from while the more aggressive part of his portfolio has a chance to rebound when the stock market temporarily experiences turbulence.

The Perennial Income Model is designed to give immediate income from safe, low-volatility types of investments. At the same time, it furnishes you with long-term, inflation-fighting equities in your portfolio—equities that will not be called upon to provide monthly income for many years down the road. As you may remember, market corrections typically last for months, not years. So even if you are the unluckiest person on the planet and your retirement coincides with a market crash, your long-term retirement plans will not be derailed as long as you are following the investment guidelines found in the Perennial Income Model.

I’ll now let Mark continue with some of the tax benefits provided by the Perennial Income Model.

The Perennial Income Model is a Tax Planner (46:30)

Mark Whitaker: Thank you, Daniel. I’ve enjoyed the presentation and thought, “Wow, this is a really good summary of all the benefits of the Perennial Income Model.” Over the last several years, I’ve enjoyed helping retirees implement this investment process in their own situations. Let me tell you a little bit about myself. Before joining Peterson Wealth Advisors, I was a combat engineer in the United States Army.

Why am I sharing this? As a combat engineer, your role is to shape the battlefield. Your role is to decide when and where to engage the enemy. We want to face the enemy on a ground that’s favorable to us. We want to face the enemy in a situation where we have the advantage. I share this because that’s how I think about tax planning. Because we have the Perennial Income Model, we can map out and look at a retiree’s income and tax situation from a bird’s eye view, giving us a broad view of what’s likely to happen. This allows us to decide when, where, and how much taxes to pay in order to do it in a way that is most advantageous to the retiree.

I love this quote from Morgan Stanley, found in some of the information here from the second edition of “Plan on Living.” At a high level, we should ask the question, why tax planning? Why saving taxes? When it comes to tax planning, every dollar we can save in taxes is an additional dollar that can be used towards something more important to you, whether it be retiring earlier than expected, having additional money to live on and enjoy life, or giving and helping others by donating and putting money towards a meaningful purpose. Every dollar saved in taxes is something that can enhance and benefit your retirement.

Let’s get down to tax planning and what we’re going to cover in this section. I want to identify specific ways that the Perennial Income Model provides a framework for excellent tax planning. For retirees, there are tremendous opportunities as well as landmines, things to avoid. We’ll then put it into an example and show you what that might look like.

How does the Perennial Income Model allow us to do great tax planning?

We’re going to organize asset types as mentioned in Alex’s section. He talked about mapping out your income and breaking it down into separate account types, with different tax treatments: retirement accounts, tax-free accounts, and after-tax investment accounts. We can organize these as well as your income streams. Do you have a rental property that generates income? Do you have a pension? What does your Social Security look like?

The Perennial Income Model maps all of this out, allowing us to take a bird’s eye view of retirement and decide where there are opportunities to minimize taxes and improve retirement outcomes. These strategies are not unique to Peterson Wealth Advisors. Any competent financial planner, tax planner, or wealth advisor can implement them. The advantage we have with the Perennial Income Model is the framework that allows us to do these things exceptionally well.

Some of the opportunities include managing your tax brackets. Many of you have probably heard of making tax-free distributions from your pre-tax retirement accounts, like IRA accounts, known as Qualified Charitable Distributions. You may also have heard about taking money out of an IRA and converting it to a Roth IRA, intentionally paying taxes now to benefit later, known as Roth conversions. We can manage the cost of Medicare Part B premiums through tax strategies. Additionally, every retiree has the potential to receive at least a portion, if not most or all, of their Social Security income tax-free.

These are some opportunities to be aware of in retirement. There are also landmines to avoid, such as underpayment penalties and Required Minimum Distributions. You have to take money out of your retirement accounts starting at age 72. One common issue is people reading about Roth conversions and how they are a great idea, but without a full understanding of their income projections, they convert too much and unnecessarily pay taxes. Penalties for not taking Required Minimum Distributions can also be an issue. If your income is too high, you may have to pay more for Medicare Part B premiums. Capital gains taxes can also vary significantly based on when you sell an asset and how long you’ve held it, affecting whether you pay a high or favorable tax rate.

Proper planning can prevent paying extra taxes on Social Security income that you might otherwise avoid. With the foundation set, let’s take a look at a retired couple. This couple, as shown on the screen, has a retirement portfolio of approximately $1.2 million in IRA assets and about $300,000 in a brokerage or trust account, totaling $1.5 million. They are ready to retire and also have a pension that will start at age 65, along with Social Security income. How can we map this out?

Here’s the battlefield: the scope of their retirement. Knowing the laws today and what income looks like now and in the future, what can we do? What are the opportunities? First, we have an opportunity at the beginning of retirement where these retirees have a couple of years. Even though their pension and Social Security are not starting for a couple of years, we have the visibility to know they can retire sooner than when these benefits begin.

Because of their investment portfolio makeup, we know we can draw from their already-taxed portfolio. This will facilitate Roth conversions, moving money from their IRA to a Roth IRA, so that money can be enjoyed later in retirement tax-free. With the Perennial Income Model, we can project a legacy for this retired couple, leaving a legacy for their children and grandchildren to support education and service, which is important to them. How much better to leave a legacy that is completely tax-free to maximize that gift for their family?

Now, the way we do this is by living on after-tax assets, allowing them to make Roth conversions at very low tax rates. While this couple is charitably inclined and will make donations to their church and other organizations for the rest of their lives, we must ensure not to convert too much into a Roth IRA. Instead, we map it out and rightsize the strategy so they don’t miss out on making tax-free transfers from their IRA once they reach age 70 and a half for the rest of their lives.

This strategy reduces the amount of taxes they pay on Social Security, lowers their tax rate, and ensures they are not forced to take out extra money from their IRA that they don’t actually need.

So what does this all look like? If we were to summarize it, I put this table together, looking at someone who is a Utah taxpayer. We are examining the federal and state tax benefits from implementing the strategy based on the information for this couple. By managing their tax brackets, using Qualified Charitable Distributions, and implementing a smart, right-sized Roth conversion strategy, the Perennial Income Model has helped us save this client over $500,000 in tax expenses over the course of their retirement.

In summary, to put this all together, the Perennial Income Model allows us to do tax planning in a way that it really ought to be done—avoiding mistakes, taking advantage of opportunities, and doing it at the time and place of our choosing when it’s most advantageous to the retiree. I’ll turn the time over to Scott now.

Conclusion (56:50)

Scott Peterson: Great. Thank you, Mark. Well done. Advisors, you know, we’re very fortunate. Living and being based in northern Utah, we have UVU, which I think has the best financial planning program in the nation. We also have BYU. Whenever I need a new employee, I can contact the professors of either BYU or UVU, ask who their best and brightest are, and we bring them here.

You have to remember, I turned 60 yesterday. So I’m not just thinking about my clients; I’m thinking about myself also—who’s going to manage my money when I decide I don’t want to do this anymore? I have the best and the brightest, as you’ve seen, working for our company, and I’m very thankful for them and all they do for our clients.

So let’s talk a little bit about the Perennial Income Model to wrap this up.

  1. The Perennial Income Model is goal-specific. It matches your current investments with your future income needs. You know what you own, you know why you own it, and you know when it will be needed for your future income stream.
  2. It creates a framework for investing. Because you have a goal-specific plan, you know specifically how to be invested, the purpose of your investments, and when to sell your investments. It allows you to invest with confidence. We have found time and again that a plan is the antidote to panic. A time-segmented plan aligned with a program to harvest gains, as we talked about earlier, reduces investment risk if the plan is followed. I honestly don’t know how one would go about determining how to invest retirement money without having a plan like the Perennial Income Model. Again, what we see is a lot of rule-of-thumb advisors saying, “Yeah, well, you know, let’s put half in stocks and half in bonds.” There’s no idea as to how to harvest the money and what to do when the markets go down, where to take income from. This creates a framework for investing.
  3. It provides a distribution framework. You know how much money you can and should take out of your investments. The plan not only helps with investment discipline but also helps with distribution discipline. It helps you monitor your own behavior. It allows you to spend with confidence. Additionally, it helps you know which account to take your money from for the maximum tax benefit.
  4. It creates a framework to recognize and manage risk. Your greatest short-term risk is stock market volatility, and your greatest long-term risk is inflation. The time-segmented plan addresses both these risks. Less volatile investments provide for immediate income needs, while your more aggressive, higher-earning investments keep up with inflation in the long run.
  5. There are additional benefits we didn’t anticipate when we created this plan back in 2007 that some of our advisors have talked about. It works as a bad luck insurance policy. I think Daniel covered this well. Some of you may know people who were unfortunate enough to retire in 2007, right before the financial crisis of ’08 and ’09. Remember what happened back then? Stocks plummeted 50%, and many retirees were forced to sell their equities at a loss just to provide for necessary retirement income. These retirement accounts were devastated during this time period. If you happen to be one of those unlucky people who retire at the beginning of a bear market, you are protected by having the Perennial Income Model in place. Your income will not come from equities, giving time the opportunity to work on your behalf, allowing your equities to rebound as time goes on.
  6. It also protects you from your older self. I’ve been working with retirees for over 35 years, and I’ve seen it time and time again. We are not as cognitively sharp in our older ages, and we’ve found tremendous help in having our clients follow the same plan throughout their retirement as they age.
  7. This ties into the next point: it will leave your spouse with a plan to follow upon your death. I can’t tell you how much comfort it brings to a surviving spouse to know that there’s a plan in place. They will follow the same plan they’ve been following for years as a couple, without shaking things up or moving things around. We’ll just keep the plan going that’s been working well for them for years.
  8. And lastly, there are tax reduction strategies available to the retiree that can significantly reduce their tax burden. But these tax opportunities don’t happen by accident. They have to be carefully planned. We found that the projection of future income that the time-segmented approach provides is a game changer when it comes to tax planning. By thoughtfully mixing the various accounts that are taxed differently from each other—such as Roth IRAs, IRAs, and after-tax brokerage accounts—you can really enhance your tax efficiency. We do this because we can map out your income over a long period of time.

Now, I just want to conclude and say, as a company, we realized that we were given something very special when we created the Perennial Income Model back in 2007. In it, we have a retirement income plan that has exceeded every expectation, benefiting hundreds of our retired families in ways we could not have originally imagined.

The Perennial Income Model provides a framework for investing, distributing, tax planning, and risk management. It helps coordinate and maximize pensions and Social Security benefits. It provides a buffer from having to liquidate stock-based equities during negative markets. Finally, it provides guidance to the aged and gives direction and reassurance to the surviving spouse if you follow its precepts.

So I just want to thank all of you for attending today. We appreciate the time you spent with us. Whether this was a good review or a new concept, we trust that you benefited from our information. Again, I’d like to give a shoutout to my colleagues. I am thankful for their contributions today and for their daily efforts in taking care of our retirees.

In conclusion, tomorrow we’ll send out an email to everyone who registered for this webinar with a recording that will be available to rewatch for the next couple of weeks. Also, if you’d like a copy of my new book, you can head to our website to request one or email info@petersonwealth.com. If you are a client of ours, you can simply pick up a book the next time you’re in our office, and we’ll have one set aside for you.

I’m sure many of you have questions about how your personalized Perennial Income Model would look. We offer complimentary consultations, and in tomorrow’s email, we will include a link to our calendar to sign up for a time if you want to discuss what your Perennial Income Model would look like in your situation. If you’re an existing client and would like to review your Perennial Income Model with your advisor, please reach out to your respective advisor or call our office, and Becki will help you set something up.

At the end of this webinar, we’ll be asking you to take a short survey because we always appreciate your feedback to continually improve our content and future webinars for you. Thank you again for spending time with us today. We hope you have a wonderful day, and we look forward to talking to you soon. Bye.